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Allsvenskan
AIK
T U S U T
2–1
Full-time
Varberg
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Varberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Allsvenskan · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
44%
22%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
33%
78%
Both score Ø 67%
44%
89%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,1
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match AIK 6. · Varberg 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 11 7 2 2 +8 23
2 Djurgarden 9 6 2 1 +10 20
3 Elfsborg 10 5 1 4 +2 16
4 Norrkoping 9 4 2 3 +4 14
5 Degerfors 9 4 2 3 +4 14
6 AIK 9 4 2 3 +1 14
7 Kalmar 9 3 5 1 +1 14
8 Hammarby 9 3 3 3 +1 12
9 Sirius 10 3 3 4 -7 12
10 Halmstad 9 2 4 3 -1 10
11 Mjallby 9 2 4 3 -2 10
12 Goteborg 9 1 6 2 +0 9
13 Hacken 9 2 3 4 -1 9
14 Ostersunds 9 2 2 5 +1 8
15 Varberg 9 2 2 5 -7 8
16 Orebro 9 2 1 6 -14 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.