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Allsvenskan
AIK
S S S U U
1–0
Full-time
Varberg
T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AIK Varberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,2
This season — Allsvenskan · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 30%
32%
28%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
36%
56%
Both score Ø 48%
36%
60%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match AIK 11. · Varberg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 25 14 8 3 +26 50
2 Elfsborg 26 10 13 3 +8 43
3 Djurgarden 26 12 6 8 +13 42
4 Hacken 26 10 11 5 +12 41
5 Norrkoping 26 11 7 8 +13 40
6 Hammarby 26 10 10 6 +5 40
7 Sirius 26 9 10 7 -1 37
8 Orebro 26 10 6 10 -3 36
9 Mjallby 26 9 8 9 -1 35
10 Ostersunds 26 8 9 9 -6 33
11 AIK 25 8 8 9 -2 32
12 Varberg 25 7 7 11 -5 28
13 Goteborg 26 4 12 10 -13 24
14 Falkenbergs 26 5 8 13 -15 23
15 Helsingborg 25 4 10 11 -13 22
16 Kalmar 26 4 9 13 -18 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Jul -20 Varberg – AIK 2–2

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.