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Allsvenskan

Varberg

S T S T S

2–2

Full-time

AIK

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg AIK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — Allsvenskan · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

50%

38%

Points per game

1,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 38%

38%

Average goals

2,3

2,4

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Varberg 4. · AIK 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norrkoping	8	6	2	0	+13	20
2	Hacken	8	3	4	1	+8	13
3	Djurgarden	8	4	1	3	+4	13
4	Varberg	8	4	1	3	+4	13
5	Malmo FF	8	3	4	1	+3	13
6	Mjallby	8	4	1	3	+1	13
7	Elfsborg	8	3	4	1	-3	13
8	Sirius	8	3	3	2	+1	12
9	AIK	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Hammarby	8	3	2	3	-2	11
11	Goteborg	8	2	3	3	-2	9
12	Orebro	8	2	3	3	-3	9
13	Ostersunds	8	2	1	5	-6	7
14	Kalmar	8	2	0	6	-4	6
15	Helsingborg	8	1	3	4	-7	6
16	Falkenbergs	8	1	2	5	-6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norrkoping	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Hacken	4	3	1	0	+10	10
3	Varberg	4	3	0	1	+3	9
4	Malmo FF	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	Hammarby	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Mjallby	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Elfsborg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Sirius	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Goteborg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Orebro	4	1	2	1	-1	5
12	AIK	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Helsingborg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Kalmar	4	1	0	3	+1	3
15	Falkenbergs	4	0	1	3	-4	1
16	Ostersunds	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elfsborg	5	2	2	1	-4	8
2	Norrkoping	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Sirius	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Ostersunds	4	2	1	1	+0	7
5	Mjallby	5	2	1	2	-1	7
6	AIK	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	Djurgarden	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Malmo FF	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Varberg	4	1	1	2	+1	4
10	Goteborg	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Orebro	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Falkenbergs	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Hammarby	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Hacken	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Kalmar	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Helsingborg	4	0	2	2	-5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.