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Championship
Referee: D Whitestone
Leicester
S S S S S
0–1
Full-time
Leeds
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leicester Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 70%
93%
46%
Points per game
2,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
57%
54%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
46%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
2,1
1,6
Conceded
0,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,64 xG 1,35
66% Possession 34%
10 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leicester 1. · Leeds 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 14 13 0 1 +21 +12.9 39
2 Ipswich 13 11 1 1 +14 +8.5 34
3 Southampton 14 7 3 4 -1 +3.8 24
4 West Brom 14 6 5 3 +8 +1.0 23
5 Cardiff 14 7 2 5 +7 -0.3 23
6 Hull 14 6 5 3 +4 -0.3 23
7 Sunderland 14 7 1 6 +8 +5.7 22
8 Leeds 13 6 4 3 +8 +9.5 22
9 Preston 14 6 4 4 -3 -3.2 22
10 Middlesbrough 14 6 2 6 -1 +8.2 20
11 Stoke 14 6 1 7 -2 -1.7 19
12 Blackburn 14 6 1 7 -3 +0.9 19
13 Swansea 14 5 3 6 +2 -1.4 18
14 Birmingham 14 5 3 6 -1 +0.4 18
15 Bristol City 14 5 3 6 -1 -0.7 18
16 Watford 14 4 5 5 +0 +2.6 17
17 Norwich 13 5 2 6 -1 -2.8 17
18 Millwall 14 4 5 5 -3 -5.6 17
19 Plymouth 14 4 3 7 +1 -4.9 15
20 Coventry 14 3 6 5 -1 +5.1 15
21 Huddersfield 14 3 5 6 -13 -5.5 14
22 Rotherham 13 2 3 8 -12 -16.1 9
23 QPR 14 2 2 10 -16 -11.1 8
24 Sheffield Weds 14 1 3 10 -15 -5.2 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leicester Leeds
26′
🟨 Sam Byram
Half-time 0–1
58′
G. Rutter 0–1
K. Ịheanachọ 🔁
↦ J. Vardy
59′
H. Choudhury 🔁
↦ C. Casadei
67′
84′
🔁 P. Bamford
↦ J. Piroe
84′
🔁 I. Gruev
↦ G. Rutter
88′
🟨 Crysencio Summerville
Hamza Choudhury 🟨
89′
90′
🔁 W. Gnonto
↦ C. Summerville
94′
🔁 L. Ayling
↦ A. Gray
94′
🔁 J. Anthony
↦ D. James
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Leicester

4-3-3
30 M. Hermansen G
21 Ricardo Pereira D
3 W. Faes D
23 J. Vestergaard D
2 J. Justin D
7 C. Casadei M
8 H. Winks M
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
18 A. Fatawu F
9 J. Vardy F
10 S. Mavididi F
Bench (9)
14 K. Ịheanachọ
17 H. Choudhury
40 Wanya Marçal
35 K. McAteer
20 P. Daka
41 J. Stolarczyk
15 H. Souttar
4 C. Coady
11 M. Albrighton

Coach: E. Maresca

Leeds

4-2-3-1
1 I. Meslier G
22 A. Gray D
14 J. Rodon D
21 P. Struijk D
25 S. Byram D
8 G. Kamara M
4 E. Ampadu M
20 D. James M
7 J. Piroe M
10 C. Summerville M
24 G. Rutter F
Bench (9)
9 P. Bamford
44 I. Gruev
2 L. Ayling
29 W. Gnonto
12 J. Anthony
6 L. Cooper
27 I. Poveda
28 K. Darlow
3 Junior Firpo

Coach: D. Farke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,14
U
3,63
B ✓
3,23
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Whitestone · 166 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.