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Süper Lig

Referee: A Kardeşler

Galatasaray

S S S T S

2–1

Full-time

Kasimpasa

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

83%

67%

Points per game

2,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,5

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 70%

90%

50%

Points per game

2,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

50%

60%

Both score Ø 55%

40%

70%

Average goals

2,4

3,4

Scored

1,9

1,7

Conceded

0,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,77 xG 0,77

63% Possession 37%

15 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 3

5 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Galatasaray 2. · Kasimpasa 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	10	10	0	0	+24	+20.6	30
2	Galatasaray	10	9	1	0	+14	+14.3	28
3	Ad. Demirspor	10	6	2	2	+11	+5.7	20
4	Besiktas	10	6	1	3	+4	+4.7	19
5	Kasimpasa	10	5	3	2	+0	-3.0	18
6	Trabzonspor	10	5	1	4	+5	+0.1	16
7	Kayserispor	10	4	4	2	+2	-1.7	16
8	Hatayspor	10	3	5	2	+4	+3.7	14
9	Rizespor	10	4	2	4	-5	-5.7	14
10	Sivasspor	10	3	4	3	-1	-0.9	13
11	Ankaragücü	10	3	3	4	+3	-1.0	12
12	Antalyaspor	10	3	3	4	-1	-0.1	12
13	Karagumruk	10	2	4	4	+0	-5.5	10
14	Alanyaspor	10	2	4	4	-4	-0.5	10
15	Konyaspor	10	2	3	5	-6	-4.8	9
16	Gaziantep	10	3	0	7	-10	-6.8	9
17	Buyuksehyr	10	2	2	6	-7	-4.1	8
18	Pendikspor	10	1	4	5	-13	-6.9	7
19	İstanbulspor	9	1	2	6	-9	-7.8	5
20	Samsunspor	9	0	2	7	-11	-0.1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ad. Demirspor	6	6	0	0	+14	+6.2	18
2	Fenerbahce	5	5	0	0	+13	+10.8	15
3	Besiktas	5	4	1	0	+7	+5.4	13
4	Galatasaray	4	4	0	0	+6	+7.1	12
5	Trabzonspor	5	4	0	1	+5	+2.2	12
6	Kayserispor	5	3	2	0	+5	+3.3	11
7	Kasimpasa	6	3	1	2	-2	-3.3	10
8	Ankaragücü	5	2	2	1	+4	+2.3	8
9	Hatayspor	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.5	8
10	Alanyaspor	6	2	2	2	+1	+1.8	8
11	Antalyaspor	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.3	8
12	Rizespor	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.0	8
13	Karagumruk	6	1	3	2	+0	-3.2	6
14	Gaziantep	4	2	0	2	-2	-1.1	6
15	Konyaspor	5	1	1	3	-2	-1.2	4
16	İstanbulspor	5	1	1	3	-3	-5.2	4
17	Buyuksehyr	4	1	0	3	-2	-3.2	3
18	Sivasspor	5	0	3	2	-3	+0.2	3
19	Pendikspor	5	0	2	3	-10	-6.3	2
20	Samsunspor	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	6	5	1	0	+8	+7.3	16
2	Fenerbahce	5	5	0	0	+11	+9.7	15
3	Sivasspor	5	3	1	1	+2	-1.1	10
4	Kasimpasa	4	2	2	0	+2	+0.2	8
5	Hatayspor	5	1	3	1	+2	+1.2	6
6	Besiktas	5	2	0	3	-3	-0.8	6
7	Rizespor	5	2	0	3	-6	-5.8	6
8	Pendikspor	5	1	2	2	-3	-0.6	5
9	Kayserispor	5	1	2	2	-3	-5.0	5
10	Konyaspor	5	1	2	2	-4	-3.6	5
11	Buyuksehyr	6	1	2	3	-5	-0.9	5
12	Trabzonspor	5	1	1	3	+0	-2.1	4
13	Karagumruk	4	1	1	2	+0	-2.2	4
14	Ankaragücü	5	1	1	3	-1	-3.3	4
15	Antalyaspor	5	1	1	3	-2	-0.4	4
16	Gaziantep	6	1	0	5	-8	-5.7	3
17	Ad. Demirspor	4	0	2	2	-3	-0.5	2
18	Alanyaspor	4	0	2	2	-5	-2.3	2
19	İstanbulspor	4	0	1	3	-6	-2.6	1
20	Samsunspor	6	0	1	5	-8	-0.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.