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Premier League

Referee: C Kavanagh

Leicester

U S S S U

1–3

Full-time

Leeds

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leicester Leeds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

This season — Premier League · 20/19 matches

Win Ø 51%

60%

42%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

55%

63%

Both score Ø 49%

45%

53%

Average goals

2,9

3,5

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

1,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%

18 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leicester 3. · Leeds 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	20	13	5	2	+24	44
2	Man United	21	12	5	4	+10	41
3	Leicester	20	12	3	5	+14	39
4	Liverpool	20	10	7	3	+17	37
5	West Ham	20	10	5	5	+6	35
6	Tottenham	19	9	6	4	+14	33
7	Chelsea	21	9	6	6	+12	33
8	Everton	19	10	3	6	+5	33
9	Aston Villa	19	10	2	7	+13	32
10	Arsenal	21	9	4	8	+6	31
11	Southampton	20	8	5	7	+2	29
12	Leeds	19	8	2	9	-3	26
13	Crystal Palace	21	7	5	9	-11	26
14	Wolves	21	6	5	10	-9	23
15	Newcastle	21	6	4	11	-13	22
16	Burnley	20	6	4	10	-13	22
17	Brighton	20	3	9	8	-7	18
18	Fulham	20	2	8	10	-12	14
19	West Brom	21	2	6	13	-33	12
20	Sheffield United	21	2	2	17	-22	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	11	8	2	1	+15	26
2	Liverpool	10	7	2	1	+12	23
3	Chelsea	11	5	4	2	+10	19
4	West Ham	10	5	3	2	+4	18
5	Leicester	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Southampton	11	5	1	5	+2	16
7	Tottenham	10	4	3	3	+3	15
8	Arsenal	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	Crystal Palace	11	4	3	4	-4	15
10	Everton	10	4	2	4	+1	14
11	Man United	10	4	2	4	-2	14
12	Aston Villa	8	4	1	3	+6	13
13	Burnley	9	4	1	4	-2	13
14	Wolves	10	3	3	4	-1	12
15	Leeds	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	Newcastle	10	3	2	5	-6	11
17	Brighton	10	0	6	4	-5	6
18	Fulham	10	1	3	6	-8	6
19	West Brom	11	1	3	7	-24	6
20	Sheffield United	10	1	1	8	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	11	8	3	0	+12	27
2	Leicester	10	7	2	1	+11	23
3	Aston Villa	11	6	1	4	+7	19
4	Everton	9	6	1	2	+4	19
5	Tottenham	9	5	3	1	+11	18
6	Man City	9	5	3	1	+9	18
7	West Ham	10	5	2	3	+2	17
8	Arsenal	10	5	1	4	+5	16
9	Leeds	10	5	0	5	-2	15
10	Liverpool	10	3	5	2	+5	14
11	Chelsea	10	4	2	4	+2	14
12	Southampton	9	3	4	2	+0	13
13	Brighton	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	Crystal Palace	10	3	2	5	-7	11
15	Newcastle	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Wolves	11	3	2	6	-8	11
17	Burnley	11	2	3	6	-11	9
18	Fulham	10	1	5	4	-4	8
19	West Brom	10	1	3	6	-9	6
20	Sheffield United	11	1	1	9	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.