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Allsvenskan
Goteborg
S T T U S
1–2
Full-time
Varberg
U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg Varberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
1,7
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Allsvenskan · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
40%
53%
Both score Ø 63%
53%
73%
Average goals
2,4
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Goteborg 10. · Varberg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 16 10 3 3 +17 33
2 Djurgarden 15 10 3 2 +14 33
3 AIK 16 10 3 3 +10 33
4 Elfsborg 16 9 3 4 +11 30
5 Hammarby 16 6 6 4 +6 24
6 Norrkoping 16 7 2 7 +3 23
7 Kalmar 15 5 6 4 -1 21
8 Halmstad 16 4 8 4 +0 20
9 Hacken 16 5 4 7 +1 19
10 Goteborg 15 4 7 4 +0 19
11 Degerfors 16 5 3 8 -10 18
12 Varberg 15 4 5 6 -5 17
13 Sirius 16 4 5 7 -11 17
14 Orebro 16 3 4 9 -17 13
15 Mjallby 15 2 5 8 -8 11
16 Ostersunds 15 2 3 10 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.