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Primeira Liga

Referee: Fábio Veríssimo

Pacos Ferreira

U T S S T

1–3

Full-time

Estoril

T S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Estoril

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,5

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,5

1,0

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

0,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%

10 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 4

0 Offside 6

24 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 12. · Estoril 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Porto	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Portimonense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
5	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Gil Vicente	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	+3	4
8	Estoril	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Maritimo	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Boavista	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Tondela	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Pacos Ferreira	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Arouca	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Vizela	3	1	0	2	-6	3
15	Moreirense	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Santa Clara	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Famalicao	3	0	0	3	-4	0
18	Belenenses	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+3	3
3	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Pacos Ferreira	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Gil Vicente	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Vizela	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Tondela	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Arouca	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Santa Clara	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Estoril	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Maritimo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Moreirense	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Portimonense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Porto	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Famalicao	2	0	0	2	-3	0
14	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-3	0
15	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Vizela	2	0	0	2	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.