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Serie A
Referee: M Guida
Sampdoria
S T U S S
0–1
Full-time
Milan
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Milan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 1 1 0 0 +4 3
2 Roma 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Lazio 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Napoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Bologna 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Udinese 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Juventus 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Cagliari 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Spezia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Verona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Salernitana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Torino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Fiorentina 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Venezia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Genoa 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Milan
9′
Brahim Díaz 0–1
D. Calabria
Manolo Gabbiadini 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–1
69′
🔁 A. Rebić
↦ Rafael Leão
69′
🔁 I. Bennacer
↦ Brahim Díaz
V. Verre 🔁
↦ M. Gabbiadini
71′
N. Murru 🔁
↦ T. Augello
71′
81′
🔁 A. Florenzi
↦ A. Saelemaekers
86′
🟨 Simon Kjær
Adrien Silva 🔁
↦ A. Ekdal
86′
88′
🔁 A. Romagnoli
↦ D. Calabria
Nicola Murru 🟨
89′
Bartosz Bereszyński 🟨
93′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sampdoria

4-4-2
1 E. Audero G
22 M. Yoshida D
24 B. Bereszyński D
15 O. Colley D
3 T. Augello D
87 A. Candreva M
6 A. Ekdal M
2 M. Thorsby M
38 M. Damsgaard M
27 F. Quagliarella F
23 M. Gabbiadini F
Bench (11)
8 V. Verre
29 N. Murru
5 Adrien Silva
12 F. Depaoli
21 L. Tonelli
33 W. Falcone
16 K. Askildsen
30 N. Ravaglia
70 S. Trimboli
25 A. Ferrari
4 J. Chabot

Coach: R. D'Aversa

Milan

4-2-3-1
16 M. Maignan G
24 S. Kjær D
2 D. Calabria D
23 F. Tomori D
19 T. Hernández D
33 R. Krunić M
56 A. Saelemaekers M
8 S. Tonali M
9 O. Giroud F
17 Rafael Leão M
10 Brahim Díaz M
Bench (12)
12 A. Rebić
4 I. Bennacer
25 A. Florenzi
13 A. Romagnoli
46 M. Gabbia
5 F. Ballo
7 Samu Castillejo
27 D. Maldini
26 T. Pobega
20 P. Kalulu
1 C. Tătărușanu
77 A. Plizzari

Coach: S. Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,02
U
3,50
B ✓
1,96
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.