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Allsvenskan
Referee: A Ekberg
Helsingborg
T S T T T
1–0
Full-time
Elfsborg
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Helsingborg Elfsborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Allsvenskan · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
0,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
5 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Helsingborg 15. · Elfsborg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Goteborg 4 3 1 0 +4 10
2 Hammarby 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 Mjallby 4 3 0 1 +4 9
4 Malmo FF 3 2 1 0 +4 7
5 Djurgarden 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Hacken 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Sirius 4 2 1 1 -1 7
8 Kalmar 4 2 0 2 +3 6
9 Varberg 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 AIK 4 2 0 2 -3 6
11 Elfsborg 3 1 1 1 +1 4
12 Sundsvall 4 1 0 3 -6 3
13 Norrkoping 4 0 1 3 -3 1
14 Varnamo 3 0 1 2 -4 1
15 Helsingborg 3 0 0 3 -3 0
16 Degerfors 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Helsingborg Elfsborg
1–0 T. Ali
V. Davidsen
25′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. Boateng
↦ N. Söderberg
46′
🔁 J. Okkels
↦ R. Alm
58′
ℹ️ Jacob Ondrejka
VAR: Penalty cancelled
67′
🔁 S. Guðjohnsen
↦ P. Frick
68′
🟨 Simon Strand
A. Kaied 🔁
↦ A. Al Hamlawi
71′
D. Olsson 🔁
↦ R. Jönsson
72′
72′
🔁 O. Zandén
↦ S. Strand
72′
🔁 A. Bernhardsson
↦ J. Ondrejka
80′
🟨 Alexander Bernhardsson
V. Lundberg 🔁
↦ L. Lingman
87′
Adam Kaied 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Emmanuel Boateng
R. Karjalainen 🔁
↦ T. Ali
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Helsingborg

4-3-3
25 K. Joelsson G
4 V. Davidsen D
2 R. Tsouka D
23 A. Suljic D
21 C. Weberg D
30 A. Ejupi M
19 L. Lingman M
22 T. Ali F
10 R. Jönsson M
9 A. van den Hurk F
15 A. Al Hamlawi F
Bench (7)
14 A. Kaied
20 D. Olsson
7 V. Lundberg
11 R. Karjalainen
1 A. Lindegaard
3 C. Widell
29 J. Amoako

Coach: J. Lennartsson

Elfsborg

4-3-3
31 T. Rönning G
24 J. Larsson D
20 S. Strand D
15 L. Väisänen D
2 G. Lagerbielke D
6 A. Rømer M
10 S. Olsson M
28 N. Söderberg M
7 J. Ondrejka F
17 P. Frick F
21 R. Alm F
Bench (7)
26 E. Boateng
19 J. Okkels
11 S. Guðjohnsen
29 O. Zandén
12 A. Bernhardsson
13 M. Baidoo
30 H. Valdimarsson

Coach: J. Thelin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Ekberg · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.