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La Liga

Referee: Antonio Mateu

Espanol

U S T S T

0–1

Full-time

Vallecano

U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 32/31 matches

Win Ø 30%

31%

29%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

47%

39%

Both score Ø 49%

56%

42%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

6 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 10

1 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 18

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Espanol 12. · Vallecano 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	33	24	6	3	+40	78
2	Ath Madrid	33	18	7	8	+20	61
3	Barcelona	31	17	9	5	+28	60
4	Sevilla	32	16	12	4	+21	60
5	Betis	33	17	6	10	+18	57
6	Sociedad	32	15	10	7	+2	55
7	Villarreal	33	14	10	9	+22	52
8	Ath Bilbao	32	11	12	9	+4	45
9	Osasuna	33	12	8	13	-10	44
10	Valencia	33	10	12	11	-4	42
11	Celta	33	10	9	14	-1	39
12	Espanol	32	10	9	13	-7	39
13	Elche	33	10	8	15	-8	38
14	Getafe	33	8	11	14	-6	35
15	Vallecano	31	9	7	15	-6	34
16	Mallorca	33	8	8	17	-25	32
17	Cadiz	32	6	13	13	-16	31
18	Granada	33	6	12	15	-20	30
19	Levante	32	5	10	17	-23	25
20	Alaves	33	6	7	20	-29	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	16	11	4	1	+21	37
2	Sevilla	16	11	4	1	+18	37
3	Ath Madrid	17	11	4	2	+16	37
4	Villarreal	17	10	5	2	+23	35
5	Barcelona	15	10	2	3	+18	32
6	Sociedad	16	9	5	2	+6	32
7	Espanol	16	9	4	3	+7	31
8	Betis	17	9	2	6	+11	29
9	Vallecano	16	8	4	4	+10	28
10	Ath Bilbao	16	8	3	5	+7	27
11	Getafe	16	7	4	5	+6	25
12	Mallorca	17	6	6	5	-2	24
13	Elche	16	6	5	5	+3	23
14	Valencia	16	5	7	4	+3	22
15	Osasuna	17	5	6	6	-7	21
16	Celta	17	5	4	8	-2	19
17	Alaves	16	5	4	7	-5	19
18	Granada	16	4	5	7	-8	17
19	Levante	16	3	7	6	-4	16
20	Cadiz	16	2	8	6	-7	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	13	2	2	+19	41
2	Barcelona	16	7	7	2	+10	28
3	Betis	16	8	4	4	+7	28
4	Ath Madrid	16	7	3	6	+4	24
5	Sevilla	16	5	8	3	+3	23
6	Osasuna	16	7	2	7	-3	23
7	Sociedad	16	6	5	5	-4	23
8	Celta	16	5	5	6	+1	20
9	Valencia	17	5	5	7	-7	20
10	Ath Bilbao	16	3	9	4	-3	18
11	Villarreal	16	4	5	7	-1	17
12	Cadiz	16	4	5	7	-9	17
13	Elche	17	4	3	10	-11	15
14	Granada	17	2	7	8	-12	13
15	Getafe	17	1	7	9	-12	10
16	Levante	16	2	3	11	-19	9
17	Espanol	16	1	5	10	-14	8
18	Mallorca	16	2	2	12	-23	8
19	Vallecano	15	1	3	11	-16	6
20	Alaves	17	1	3	13	-24	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.