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Allsvenskan

Referee: A Ladebäck

Elfsborg

S T S T U

4–1

Full-time

Varnamo

T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,5

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

This season — Allsvenskan · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,5

Scored

0,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elfsborg 12. · Varnamo 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Malmo FF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Kalmar	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Hacken	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Goteborg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Mjallby	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Varberg	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Sirius	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	AIK	3	1	0	2	-4	3
11	Varnamo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Elfsborg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Helsingborg	2	0	0	2	-2	0
14	Norrkoping	3	0	0	3	-3	0
15	Degerfors	3	0	0	3	-5	0
16	Sundsvall	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	AIK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Varberg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Varnamo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Degerfors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Norrkoping	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Elfsborg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Sundsvall	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Kalmar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Hacken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Varberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Mjallby	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Elfsborg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sirius	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Varnamo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Djurgarden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Norrkoping	2	0	0	2	-2	0
14	Sundsvall	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Degerfors	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	AIK	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.