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Allsvenskan
Malmo FF
S S T S S
4–0
Full-time
Sirius
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Sirius
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
2,3
1,2
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,8
This season — Allsvenskan · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 47%
58%
35%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
62%
65%
Both score Ø 68%
62%
73%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Malmo FF 1. · Sirius 9. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Malmo FF 26 15 8 3 +27 53
2 Elfsborg 27 11 13 3 +10 46
3 Hacken 27 11 11 5 +13 44
4 Djurgarden 27 12 6 9 +12 42
5 Norrkoping 27 11 7 9 +11 40
6 Hammarby 27 10 10 7 +2 40
7 Mjallby 27 10 8 9 +1 38
8 AIK 27 10 8 9 +0 38
9 Sirius 26 9 10 7 -1 37
10 Orebro 27 10 6 11 -4 36
11 Ostersunds 27 8 9 10 -7 33
12 Varberg 27 8 7 12 -3 31
13 Goteborg 26 4 12 10 -13 24
14 Kalmar 27 5 9 13 -17 24
15 Falkenbergs 27 5 8 14 -17 23
16 Helsingborg 26 4 10 12 -14 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.