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Allsvenskan
Referee: G Maqedonci
Varberg
S T T U U
1–1
Full-time
Sirius
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varberg Sirius
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — Allsvenskan · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
15 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 8
1 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Varberg 13. · Sirius 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norrkoping 3 2 1 0 +4 7
2 Mjallby 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Kalmar 3 2 0 1 +3 6
4 Hacken 3 2 0 1 +2 6
5 Malmo FF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Halmstad 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Elfsborg 3 1 1 1 +3 4
8 Djurgarden 3 1 1 1 +0 4
9 Varnamo 3 1 0 2 -1 3
10 Hammarby 3 1 0 2 -2 3
11 Degerfors 3 1 0 2 -2 3
12 AIK 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Varberg 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Sirius 2 0 2 0 +0 2
15 Goteborg 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Brommapojkarna 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Varberg Sirius
1–0 O. Alfonsi
7′
11′
🟨 Daniel Stensson
Eliton Junior 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 J. Voelkerling Persson
↦ A. Bjarnason
60′
🔁 A. Alsanati
↦ Kristopher Da Graca
I. Lushaku 🔁
↦ Y. El Ouatki
64′
A. Al Hamlawi 🔁
↦ O. Alfonsi
64′
76′
J. Roche 1–1
D. Stensson
Ö. Pektas 🔁
↦ O. Silverholt
81′
N. Dahlström 🔁
↦ V. Karlsson
81′
81′
🔁 A. Ljungberg
↦ M. Heier
81′
🔁 E. Sylisufaj
↦ T. Matthews
87′
🔁 E. Özkan
↦ M. Kaastrup
M. Sainte 🔁
↦ Eliton Júnior
91′
93′
🟨 August Ljungberg
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Varberg

3-4-3
1 D. Olsson G
18 J. Lindner D
3 H. Zackrisson D
12 V. Rönnberg D
20 O. Silverholt M
8 L. Le Roux M
39 Y. El Ouatki M
5 Vinícius Nogueira M
21 V. Karlsson F
14 O. Alfonsi F
11 Eliton Júnior F
Bench (9)
10 I. Lushaku
17 A. Al Hamlawi
36 Ö. Pektas
40 N. Dahlström
45 M. Sainte
22 L. Frigell Jansson
30 J. Sundström
38 Ó. Sverrisson
29 F. Andersson

Coach: J. Persson

Sirius

4-1-4-1
30 J. Tånnander G
4 Kristopher Da Graca D
2 P. Nwadike D
6 M. Mathisen D
21 D. Widgren D
5 J. Roche M
14 A. Bjarnason M
19 M. Heier M
8 D. Stensson M
7 T. Matthews M
28 M. Kaastrup F
Bench (8)
13 J. Voelkerling Persson
22 A. Alsanati
36 A. Ljungberg
23 E. Sylisufaj
27 E. Özkan
16 H. Sjögrell
31 M. Jeng
35 H. Sveijer

Coach: C. Mattiasson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Maqedonci · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.