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Svenska Cupen
Referee: P Melin
1–4
Full-time
Sirius
S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oskarshamns AIK Sirius
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
This season — Svenska Cupen · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Oskarshamns AIK 5. · Sirius 30.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Helsingborg 2 2 0 0 +11 6
2 Hacken 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Varberg 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Halmstad 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Oskarshamns AIK 2 2 0 0 +3 6
6 GAIS 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Trollhättan 3 2 0 1 +2 6
8 IFK Luleå 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Onsala 3 2 0 1 -2 6
10 AIK 2 1 1 0 +2 4
11 Vasteras SK 2 1 1 0 +2 4
12 Malmo FF 1 1 0 0 +9 3
13 Västra Frölunda 2 1 0 1 +5 3
14 Nyköping 2 1 0 1 +4 3
15 Tvååker 2 1 0 1 +3 3
16 Dalkurd FF 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Sundsvall 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Goteborg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Landskrona 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Djurgarden 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 IF Karlstad 2 1 0 1 +2 3
22 Degerfors 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Brommapojkarna 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Trelleborg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Mjallby 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Kalmar 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 IK brage 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Skövde AIK 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Norrkoping 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Sirius 1 1 0 0 +2 3
31 Österlen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
32 Vasalund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
33 IFK Östersund 2 1 0 1 +1 3
34 Hammarby 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Utsikten 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Norrby IF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Orebro SK 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Tord 2 1 0 1 +0 3
39 Stockholm Internazionale 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Sandviken 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Älmhults 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Lund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Gauthiod 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Ostersunds FK 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Husqvarna 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Hudiksvall 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Stocksund 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Hässleholms IF 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Ljungskile SK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 Jonkopings Sodra 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Torns 2 1 0 1 -2 3
52 Enköping 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Örebro Syrianska 2 1 0 1 -2 3
54 IFK Österåker 2 1 0 1 -2 3
55 Brålanda 2 1 0 1 -5 3
56 Arlanda 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Gute 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Eneby 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Haninge 2 0 1 1 -2 1
60 Täby 2 0 1 1 -2 1
61 Sleipner 2 0 1 1 -2 1
62 Ullared 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 IFK Malmö 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Olympic 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Skiljebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Sollentuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Friska Viljor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Asarum 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Umeå FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Lindome 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Uppsala 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Eskilsminne 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 AFC Eskilstuna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Oster 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Elfsborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Lidingö 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Motala 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 Angered BK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Karlberg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Räppe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Korsnäs 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Vänersborgs FK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Järfälla 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Lucksta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Huddinge 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Varnamo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Orgryte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Lidköping 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Vänersborgs IF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Simrishamn 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Nordvärmland 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Angelholms FF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
93 Trosa-Vagnhärad SK 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Torslanda 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Assyriska Turabdin 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oskarshamns AIK Sirius
1–0 E. Crona
9′
N. G. Dantas 🟨
22′
39′
E. Sylisufaj 1–1
41′
🟨 M. Mathisen
Half-time 1–1
A. Catic 🟨
57′
57′
🟨 J. Roche
B. Nouri 🔁
↦ A. Podrimcaku
59′
60′
P. Nwadike 1–2
65′
🔁 A. Wikman
↦ J. Roche
65′
🔁 C. Kouakou
↦ A. Alsanati
73′
M. Heier 1–3
A. Vidjeskog 🔁
↦ M. Ulaj
74′
M. Korang 🔁
↦ Falcão
74′
A. Olsson 🔁
↦ A. Ćatić
80′
L. Rydberg 🔁
↦ A. Jibodu
80′
85′
🔁 E. Özkan
↦ M. Heier
85′
🔁 A. Ljungberg
↦ H. Sjögrell
87′
🟨 D. Stensson
89′
🔁 T. Olsson
↦ E. Sylisufaj
94′
E. Özkan 1–4
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Oskarshamns AIK

M. Hartmann
A. Eriksson-Ibragic
Nícolas
O. Lindqvist
A. Ćatić
A. Jibodu
Falcão
A. Podrimcaku
M. Ulaj
K. Busuladžić
E. Crona
Bench (7)
B. Nouri
A. Vidjeskog
M. Korang
A. Olsson
L. Rydberg
E. Karlsson
L. Lindblom

Coach: T. Gabrielsson

Sirius

J. Tånnander
D. Widgren
M. Mathisen
Kristopher Da Graca
J. Roche
P. Nwadike
D. Stensson
A. Alsanati
M. Heier
E. Sylisufaj
H. Sjögrell
Bench (7)
A. Wikman
C. Kouakou
E. Özkan
A. Ljungberg
T. Olsson
H. Sveijer
J. Voelkerling Persson

Coach: C. Mattiasson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.