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Championship
Referee: S Allison
Coventry
T U S S T
2–0
Full-time
Birmingham
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Coventry Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 29%
26%
32%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
42%
47%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
58%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,16 xG 0,53
56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 19
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Coventry 17. · Birmingham 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leicester 19 15 1 3 +22 +14.3 46
2 Ipswich 19 14 3 2 +16 +9.9 45
3 Leeds 18 10 5 3 +13 +15.5 35
4 Southampton 18 10 4 4 +3 +7.1 34
5 West Brom 18 9 5 4 +12 +3.2 32
6 Hull 19 8 6 5 +5 +5.1 30
7 Blackburn 19 9 1 9 +1 +2.1 28
8 Preston 19 8 4 7 -8 -7.7 28
9 Sunderland 19 8 3 8 +7 +11.9 27
10 Watford 19 7 6 6 +5 +2.6 27
11 Cardiff 19 8 3 8 +4 -3.8 27
12 Middlesbrough 19 8 3 8 +2 +9.8 27
13 Norwich 18 8 2 8 -1 -2.8 26
14 Bristol City 19 7 4 8 -1 +1.3 25
15 Birmingham 19 6 5 8 -4 -2.2 23
16 Plymouth 19 6 4 9 +2 -8.8 22
17 Coventry 19 5 7 7 +1 +6.8 22
18 Swansea 19 5 6 8 -1 -5.6 21
19 Millwall 19 5 6 8 -5 -8.2 21
20 Stoke 19 6 3 10 -8 -4.5 21
21 Huddersfield 19 4 8 7 -13 -10.7 20
22 QPR 19 4 4 11 -13 -8.7 16
23 Rotherham 19 2 7 10 -20 -21.3 13
24 Sheffield Weds 19 2 4 13 -19 -5.2 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Coventry Birmingham
9′
🟨 Juninho Bacuna
1–0 C. O'Hare
T. Sakamoto
30′
Half-time 1–0
56′
🟨 Siriki Dembélé
70′
🟨 Emanuel Aiwu
70′
🔁 O. Burke
↦ K. Miyoshi
70′
🔁 S. Hogan
↦ J. Stansfield
75′
🟨 Lukas Jutkiewicz
2–0 C. O'Hare
M. van Ewijk
77′
81′
🟨 Jordan James
83′
🔁 R. Donovan
↦ L. Jutkiewicz
83′
🔁 I. Šunjić
↦ K. Bielik
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Coventry

4-3-3
40 B. Collins G
27 M. van Ewijk D
4 B. Thomas D
15 L. Kitching D
21 J. Bidwell D
14 B. Sheaf M
10 C. O'Hare M
8 J. Allen M
7 T. Sakamoto F
9 E. Simms F
11 H. Wright F
Bench (9)
6 L. Kelly
3 J. Dasilva
28 J. Eccles
45 K. Palmer
5 K. McFadzean
26 Y. Ayari
13 B. Wilson
22 J. Latibeaudiere
2 L. Binks

Coach: M. Robins

Birmingham

4-4-2
21 J. Ruddy G
7 J. Bacuna D
4 M. Roberts D
44 E. Aiwu D
3 L. Buchanan D
11 K. Miyoshi M
19 J. James M
6 K. Bielik M
28 J. Stansfield M
10 L. Jutkiewicz F
17 S. Dembélé F
Bench (9)
45 O. Burke
9 S. Hogan
49 R. Donovan
34 I. Šunjić
23 M. Emmanuel
1 N. Etheridge
20 G. Gardner
24 M. Oakley
27 B. Khela

Coach: W. Rooney

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,72
U
3,83
B
4,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,77
U2,5 ✓
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Allison · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.