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Pro League

Referee: B Staessens

Kortrijk

T U T T T

1–2

Full-time

Westerlo

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Westerlo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,3

Scored

0,3

1,2

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 12/11 matches

Win Ø 13%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

67%

73%

Both score Ø 53%

33%

73%

Average goals

2,9

3,3

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

2,3

2,1

Goal diff per game

-1,6

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,74 xG 1,56

49% Possession 51%

16 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 1

3 Offside 5

8 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kortrijk 14. · Westerlo 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	11	8	2	1	+13	+8.3	26
2	St. Gilloise	10	8	1	1	+16	+11.5	25
3	Cercle Brugge	10	8	0	2	+11	+10.4	24
4	Antwerp	11	5	5	1	+18	+12.5	20
5	Club Brugge	11	6	2	3	+14	+16.1	20
6	Gent	10	4	5	1	+3	+2.8	17
7	Genk	10	4	4	2	+11	+12.5	16
8	Standard	11	4	3	4	-5	-10.8	15
9	Mechelen	10	4	2	4	+0	-1.5	14
10	RWD Molenbeek	12	3	4	5	-10	-10.7	13
11	St Truiden	10	2	5	3	-5	-5.2	11
12	Charleroi	12	2	4	6	-8	-8.0	10
13	Eupen	12	2	2	8	-16	-18.6	8
14	Kortrijk	12	2	2	8	-19	-6.4	8
15	Westerlo	11	1	3	7	-10	-7.7	6
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	1	2	8	-13	-5.1	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	5	5	0	0	+9	+5.6	15
2	Cercle Brugge	5	5	0	0	+8	+6.2	15
3	Antwerp	6	4	2	0	+16	+11.8	14
4	St. Gilloise	4	4	0	0	+12	+6.9	12
5	Gent	6	3	3	0	+3	+0.3	12
6	Club Brugge	5	3	2	0	+10	+7.2	11
7	Mechelen	5	3	1	1	+4	+1.1	10
8	Standard	6	3	1	2	+1	-4.6	10
9	Genk	6	2	3	1	+5	+7.9	9
10	Charleroi	6	2	3	1	+0	+0.8	9
11	RWD Molenbeek	6	2	2	2	-3	-4.5	8
12	Kortrijk	7	2	2	3	-5	-2.6	8
13	St Truiden	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.5	5
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	1	1	2	+1	-2.1	4
15	Eupen	5	1	1	3	-7	-5.7	4
16	Westerlo	5	1	0	4	-7	-5.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	6	4	1	1	+4	+4.5	13
2	Anderlecht	6	3	2	1	+4	+2.7	11
3	Club Brugge	6	3	0	3	+4	+8.8	9
4	Cercle Brugge	5	3	0	2	+3	+4.2	9
5	Genk	4	2	1	1	+6	+4.6	7
6	Antwerp	5	1	3	1	+2	+0.7	6
7	St Truiden	4	1	3	0	+1	-1.7	6
8	Gent	4	1	2	1	+0	+2.5	5
9	Standard	5	1	2	2	-6	-6.3	5
10	RWD Molenbeek	6	1	2	3	-7	-6.3	5
11	Mechelen	5	1	1	3	-4	-2.7	4
12	Eupen	7	1	1	5	-9	-12.8	4
13	Westerlo	6	0	3	3	-3	-1.9	3
14	Charleroi	6	0	1	5	-8	-8.9	1
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	0	1	6	-14	-3.0	1
16	Kortrijk	5	0	0	5	-14	-3.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.