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Allsvenskan
Referee: G Nyberg
Hammarby
T S U S T
3–0
Full-time
Elfsborg
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Elfsborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
12 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hammarby 10. · Elfsborg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Malmo FF 3 3 0 0 +10 +3.8 9
2 Djurgarden 3 2 1 0 +5 +2.2 7
3 Mjallby 3 2 1 0 +4 +1.2 7
4 Sirius 3 2 0 1 +2 +2.0 6
5 Halmstad 3 2 0 1 -1 -4.0 6
6 AIK 3 1 2 0 +1 -1.1 5
7 Brommapojkarna 3 1 1 1 +3 +2.2 4
8 Elfsborg 2 1 1 0 +1 +1.3 4
9 Hacken 3 1 1 1 +0 -2.3 4
10 Hammarby 2 1 0 1 +0 +1.0 3
11 Goteborg 3 1 0 2 -3 -0.8 3
12 GAIS 3 1 0 2 -4 -0.1 3
13 Norrkoping 3 1 0 2 -6 -2.6 3
14 Varnamo 3 0 1 2 -5 -2.7 1
15 Vasteras SK 3 0 0 3 -3 +2.5 0
16 Kalmar 3 0 0 3 -4 -2.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hammarby Elfsborg
6′
🟨 Sebastian Holmén
Oscar Johansson 🟨
21′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 N. Besara
V. Đukanović
49′
61′
🔁 A. Baldursson
↦ N. Söderberg
F. Hammar 🔁
↦ A. Boudah
62′
2–0 V. Đukanović
N. Besara
69′
75′
🔁 A. Qasem
↦ S. Hedlund
75′
🔁 C. Jebara
↦ J. Thomasen
75′
🔁 B. Zeneli
↦ A. Zeneli
75′
🔁 D. Krasniqi
↦ J. Abdullai
3–0 J. Erabi
76′
79′
🟨 Michael Baidoo
81′
🟨 Michael Baidoo
81′
🟥 Michael Baidoo
Montader Madjed 🔁
↦ V. Đukanović
88′
D. Gül 🔁
↦ J. Erabi
88′
K. Gyamfi 🔁
↦ E. Kurtulus
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Hammarby

4-4-2
1 O. Dovin G
2 H. Skoglund D
4 E. Kurtulus D
6 P. Vagić D
30 S. Pinas D
23 A. Boudah M
5 T. Tekie M
11 O. Johansson Schellhas M
7 V. Đukanović M
9 J. Erabi F
20 N. Besara F
Bench (9)
8 F. Hammar
18 Montader Madjed
19 D. Gül
24 K. Gyamfi
25 D. Blažević
13 M. Fenger
28 B. Touré
21 S. Strand
22 M. Karlsson

Coach: K. Hellberg

Elfsborg

4-2-3-1
30 M. Bundgaard G
13 J. Larsson D
8 S. Holmén D
2 T. Yegbe D
23 N. Hult D
28 N. Söderberg M
7 J. Thomasen M
15 S. Hedlund M
10 M. Baidoo M
9 A. Zeneli M
14 J. Abdullai F
Bench (9)
6 A. Baldursson
18 A. Qasem
24 C. Jebara
27 B. Zeneli
22 D. Krasniqi
16 T. Ouma
19 R. Kaib
31 I. Pettersson
29 I. Buhari

Coach: J. Thelin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.