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Allsvenskan
Referee: F Klitte
Elfsborg
U T S T U
2–2
Full-time
Varnamo
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Varnamo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,69 xG 0,43
42% Possession 58%
17 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
23 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Sep -23 Varnamo – Elfsborg 1–0 14. May -23 Elfsborg – Varnamo 2–0 21. Aug -22 Varnamo – Elfsborg 1–1 17. Apr -22 Elfsborg – Varnamo 4–1

Match report

Elfsborg Varnamo
1–0 M. Baidoo ⚽
A. Baldursson
11′
Noah Söderberg 🟨
15′
2–0 S. Hedlund ⚽
M. Baidoo
28′
G. Rapp 🔁
↦ S. Hedlund
37′
42′
⚽ Wenderson 2–1
A. Zeljkovic
Half-time 2–1
Jalal Abdulai 🟨
52′
56′
⚽ A. Zeljkovic 2–2
G. Engvall
J. Thomasen 🔁
↦ N. Söderberg
64′
B. Zeneli 🔁
↦ A. Baldursson
65′
C. Jebara 🔁
↦ A. Zeneli
67′
67′
🔁 H. Näsström
↦ W. Kenndal
76′
🟨 Samuel Kotto
86′
🔁 F. Winsth
↦ A. Zeljkovic
93′
🔁 F. Adjei
↦ C. Johansson
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Elfsborg

4-2-3-1
30 M. Bundgaard G
13 J. Larsson D
8 S. Holmén D
2 T. Yegbe D
23 N. Hult D
28 N. Söderberg M
6 A. Baldursson M
15 S. Hedlund M
10 M. Baidoo M
9 A. Zeneli M
14 J. Abdullai F
Bench (9)
20 G. Rapp
7 J. Thomasen
27 B. Zeneli
24 C. Jebara
17 P. Frick
21 A. Boman
19 R. Kaib
29 I. Buhari
31 I. Pettersson

Coach: J. Thelin

Varnamo

4-4-2
39 V. Andersson G
5 V. Larsson D
2 J. Rapp D
23 S. Kotto D
3 V. Bergh D
22 S. Thern M
8 W. Kenndal M
11 Wenderson M
7 C. Johansson M
14 G. Engvall F
10 A. Zeljkovic F
Bench (9)
6 H. Näsström
20 F. Winsth
28 F. Adjei
18 M. Alsalkhadi
19 M. Bustos
32 K. Bilalovic
31 D. Mikhail
4 E. Hasić
16 A. Lohikangas

Coach: A. Mravac

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U ✓
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Klitte · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.