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Allsvenskan

Referee: V Wolf

GAIS

S T S S T

2–1

Full-time

Goteborg

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GAIS Goteborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%

15 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match GAIS 11. · Goteborg 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	7	6	0	1	+15	+6.8	18
2	AIK	7	4	2	1	+4	-2.2	14
3	Djurgarden	7	4	1	2	+5	+1.2	13
4	Hacken	7	4	1	2	+4	-1.4	13
5	Halmstad	7	4	0	3	-3	-3.6	12
6	Mjallby	7	3	2	2	+3	+1.0	11
7	Elfsborg	7	3	1	3	-1	+2.5	10
8	Norrkoping	7	3	1	3	-7	-4.1	10
9	Brommapojkarna	7	2	3	2	+2	+2.5	9
10	Hammarby	7	3	0	4	+1	+1.0	9
11	GAIS	6	3	0	3	-3	+0.4	9
12	Goteborg	6	2	1	3	-1	-0.8	7
13	Sirius	7	2	1	4	-4	+2.0	7
14	Varnamo	7	2	1	4	-7	-4.5	7
15	Kalmar	7	2	0	5	-2	-2.9	6
16	Vasteras SK	7	1	0	6	-6	+2.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	4	4	0	0	+9	-0.3	12
2	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+8	+1.2	9
3	Hammarby	4	3	0	1	+5	+1.0	9
4	Mjallby	4	2	2	0	+4	+0.7	8
5	Elfsborg	4	2	1	1	+3	+1.8	7
6	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+2	-2.1	7
7	Hacken	4	2	0	2	+0	-1.4	6
8	Halmstad	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.2	6
9	Norrkoping	3	2	0	1	-1	-3.2	6
10	Kalmar	4	1	0	3	+0	-1.4	3
11	Sirius	3	1	0	2	-1	+2.0	3
12	GAIS	2	1	0	1	-3	-0.1	3
13	Vasteras SK	4	1	0	3	-3	+1.9	3
14	Brommapojkarna	3	0	2	1	-3	+0.1	2
15	Goteborg	3	0	1	2	-4	-2.2	1
16	Varnamo	3	0	0	3	-7	-2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	4	3	0	1	+7	+5.6	9
2	Brommapojkarna	4	2	1	1	+5	+2.4	7
3	Hacken	3	2	1	0	+4	–	7
4	Varnamo	4	2	1	1	+0	-2.4	7
5	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+3	+3.3	6
6	Goteborg	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.4	6
7	GAIS	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.5	6
8	Halmstad	4	2	0	2	-3	-3.4	6
9	Sirius	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.0	4
10	Norrkoping	4	1	1	2	-6	-0.9	4
11	Mjallby	3	1	0	2	-1	+0.3	3
12	Kalmar	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.6	3
13	Elfsborg	3	1	0	2	-4	+0.6	3
14	AIK	3	0	2	1	-5	-1.9	2
15	Vasteras SK	3	0	0	3	-3	+0.4	0
16	Hammarby	3	0	0	3	-4	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.