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Allsvenskan

Referee: O Johnson

Varnamo

T S S T U

1–2

Full-time

GAIS

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Varnamo GAIS

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

2,0

4,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

60% Possession 40%

11 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 9

3 Blocked shots 2

7 Goalkeeper saves 0

7 Corners 5

11 Free kicks against 17

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Varnamo 10. · GAIS 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+6	+2.3	6
2	Mjallby	2	2	0	0	+4	+0.5	6
3	Brommapojkarna	2	1	1	0	+4	+0.4	4
4	AIK	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.4	4
5	Elfsborg	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.3	4
6	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
7	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
8	Hammarby	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.0	3
9	Halmstad	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.0	3
10	Varnamo	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
11	Hacken	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
12	Kalmar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
13	Vasteras SK	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.4	0
14	Goteborg	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.2	0
15	GAIS	1	0	0	1	-4	-0.4	0
16	Norrkoping	2	0	0	2	-7	-2.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.0	3
2	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+3	–	3
3	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.0	3
4	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
5	AIK	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
6	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
7	Elfsborg	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
8	Brommapojkarna	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
9	Hacken	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
10	Vasteras SK	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
11	Goteborg	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.2	0
12	Norrkoping	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.3	0
13	GAIS	1	0	0	1	-4	-0.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.3	3
2	Brommapojkarna	1	1	0	0	+4	+0.4	3
3	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
4	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
5	Elfsborg	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	Varnamo	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
7	AIK	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
8	Vasteras SK	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.4	0
9	Goteborg	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
10	Kalmar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
11	Hammarby	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
12	Halmstad	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.0	0
13	Norrkoping	1	0	0	1	-3	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.