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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Maqedonci

GAIS

U S T S T

2–1

Full-time

Mjallby

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GAIS Mjallby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

2,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,04 xG 0,73

44% Possession 56%

15 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

3 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 7

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match GAIS 14. · Mjallby 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	4	4	0	0	+11	+3.8	12
2	Djurgarden	3	2	1	0	+5	+2.2	7
3	Mjallby	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.2	7
4	Hammarby	3	2	0	1	+3	+1.0	6
5	Sirius	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.0	6
6	Halmstad	3	2	0	1	-1	-4.0	6
7	AIK	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.1	5
8	Brommapojkarna	3	1	1	1	+3	+2.2	4
9	Hacken	3	1	1	1	+0	-2.3	4
10	Elfsborg	3	1	1	1	-2	+1.3	4
11	Goteborg	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.8	4
12	Varnamo	4	1	1	2	-4	-2.7	4
13	Norrkoping	4	1	1	2	-6	-2.6	4
14	GAIS	3	1	0	2	-4	-0.1	3
15	Kalmar	3	0	0	3	-4	-2.3	0
16	Vasteras SK	4	0	0	4	-4	+2.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.0	6
2	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+3	–	6
3	Mjallby	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.7	4
4	Djurgarden	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.0	4
5	Sirius	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.0	3
6	AIK	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.4	3
7	Halmstad	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Hacken	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.3	3
9	Norrkoping	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.6	3
10	Elfsborg	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
11	Brommapojkarna	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
12	Goteborg	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.2	1
13	Kalmar	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.4	0
14	Vasteras SK	2	0	0	2	-2	+2.0	0
15	GAIS	1	0	0	1	-4	-0.4	0
16	Varnamo	2	0	0	2	-5	-1.5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+8	+3.8	6
2	Varnamo	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.3	4
3	Brommapojkarna	2	1	0	1	+3	+2.2	3
4	Djurgarden	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.2	3
5	Mjallby	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
6	GAIS	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
7	Goteborg	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
8	Sirius	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.0	3
9	Halmstad	2	1	0	1	-2	-4.0	3
10	Elfsborg	2	1	0	1	-2	–	3
11	AIK	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.7	2
12	Hacken	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
13	Norrkoping	2	0	1	1	-3	–	1
14	Kalmar	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.0	0
15	Vasteras SK	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.4	0
16	Hammarby	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.