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Allsvenskan
Referee: G Nyberg
2–2
Full-time
Malmo FF
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brommapojkarna Malmo FF
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 55%
27%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
55%
67%
Both score Ø 49%
64%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,7
Conceded
1,7
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,71 xG 1,97
26% Possession 74%
10 Shots 22
8 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brommapojkarna 10. · Malmo FF 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Malmo FF 12 10 1 1 +25 +12.5 31
2 Djurgarden 11 8 1 2 +16 +0.8 25
3 GAIS 11 7 0 4 +3 -0.3 21
4 Mjallby 12 6 2 4 +6 +1.0 20
5 Hammarby 11 6 0 5 +3 +1.2 18
6 AIK 11 5 2 4 -1 -0.1 17
7 Hacken 12 5 2 5 -1 -2.2 17
8 Elfsborg 12 5 1 6 +2 +2.6 16
9 Halmstad 11 5 0 6 -6 -4.1 15
10 Brommapojkarna 11 3 5 3 -2 +2.3 14
11 Varnamo 11 4 2 5 -3 -4.8 14
12 Sirius 11 3 3 5 -5 +1.4 12
13 Goteborg 11 3 2 6 -7 -4.1 11
14 Norrkoping 11 3 2 6 -13 -3.6 11
15 Kalmar 11 3 1 7 -7 -5.0 10
16 Vasteras SK 11 1 2 8 -10 +2.3 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brommapojkarna Malmo FF
23′
I. Kiese Thelin 0–1
Gabriel Busanello
1–1 N. Vasić
T. Waker
24′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 T. Ali
↦ H. Bolin
E. Björkander 🔁
↦ F. Christensen
63′
Daleho Irandust 🔁
↦ N. Vasić
63′
64′
🔁 O. Berg
↦ S. Nanasi
65′
🟨 Jens Stryger Larsen
65′
🔁 S. Jørgensen
↦ S. Peña
2–1 T. Heggem
Daleho Irandust
65′
K. Barslund 🔁
↦ T. Waker
74′
79′
🟨 Derek Cornelius
83′
🔁 O. Rosengren
↦ J. Stryger Larsen
E. Botchway 🔁
↦ Daleho Irandust
86′
P. Pichkah 🔁
↦ W. Odefalk
86′
90′
🟨 Lasse Berg Johnsen
90′
🔁 M. Olsson
↦ Gabriel Busanello
96′
D. Cornelius 2–2
L. Berg Johnsen
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Brommapojkarna

3-4-3
20 F. Sidklev G
17 A. Jensen D
3 A. Abrahamsson D
2 T. Heggem D
23 T. Waker M
13 L. Fritzson M
10 W. Odefalk M
7 F. Christensen M
21 A. Timossi Andersson F
9 N. Vasić F
16 A. Jakobsen F
Bench (9)
4 E. Björkander
12 Daleho Irandust
27 K. Barslund
29 E. Botchway
15 P. Pichkah
19 L. Žuta
18 A. Lohake
14 A. Johansson
35 L. Bergström

Coach: A. Engelmark

Malmo FF

4-3-3
27 J. Dahlin G
17 J. Stryger Larsen D
33 E. Makolli D
19 D. Cornelius D
25 Gabriel Busanello D
8 S. Peña M
23 L. Berg Johnsen M
11 S. Nanasi M
20 E. Botheim F
9 I. Kiese Thelin F
38 H. Bolin F
Bench (9)
22 T. Ali
16 O. Berg
14 S. Jørgensen
7 O. Rosengren
13 M. Olsson
37 A. Skogmar
1 Ricardo Friedrich
34 Z. Loukili
35 N. Zätterström

Coach: H. Rydström

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.