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Allsvenskan

Referee: O Johnson

Malmo FF

S S U T S

1–0

Full-time

GAIS

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF GAIS

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 76%

88%

63%

Points per game

2,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,8

1,4

Conceded

0,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,24 xG 0,37

72% Possession 28%

20 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

10 Corners 3

2 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malmo FF 1. · GAIS 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	8	7	0	1	+18	+8.3	21
2	Mjallby	9	5	2	2	+8	+1.0	17
3	Djurgarden	8	5	1	2	+7	+1.2	16
4	Hacken	9	5	1	3	+3	-1.4	16
5	GAIS	8	5	0	3	+0	+0.4	15
6	Halmstad	9	5	0	4	-2	-3.6	15
7	AIK	9	4	2	3	-3	-2.2	14
8	Elfsborg	9	4	1	4	+2	+2.5	13
9	Hammarby	9	4	0	5	-1	+1.0	12
10	Varnamo	9	3	2	4	-5	-4.5	11
11	Brommapojkarna	8	2	4	2	+2	+2.5	10
12	Sirius	8	3	1	4	-2	+2.0	10
13	Norrkoping	8	3	1	4	-8	-4.1	10
14	Goteborg	8	2	1	5	-5	-2.3	7
15	Kalmar	8	2	0	6	-4	-2.9	6
16	Vasteras SK	9	1	0	8	-10	+2.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AIK	5	4	0	1	+7	-0.3	12
2	Mjallby	5	3	2	0	+7	+0.7	11
3	Elfsborg	5	3	1	1	+8	+1.8	10
4	Djurgarden	5	3	1	1	+4	-2.1	10
5	Malmo FF	3	3	0	0	+8	+1.2	9
6	Hammarby	4	3	0	1	+5	+1.0	9
7	Hacken	5	3	0	2	+2	-1.4	9
8	Halmstad	5	3	0	2	+1	-0.2	9
9	GAIS	4	3	0	1	+0	-0.1	9
10	Norrkoping	4	2	0	2	-2	-3.2	6
11	Kalmar	4	1	0	3	+0	-1.4	3
12	Sirius	3	1	0	2	-1	+2.0	3
13	Vasteras SK	5	1	0	4	-5	+1.9	3
14	Brommapojkarna	3	0	2	1	-3	+0.1	2
15	Varnamo	4	0	1	3	-7	-2.1	1
16	Goteborg	4	0	1	3	-7	-3.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	5	4	0	1	+10	+7.0	12
2	Varnamo	5	3	1	1	+2	-2.4	10
3	Brommapojkarna	5	2	2	1	+5	+2.4	8
4	Hacken	4	2	1	1	+1	–	7
5	Sirius	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.0	7
6	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+3	+3.3	6
7	Goteborg	4	2	0	2	+2	+1.4	6
8	Mjallby	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.3	6
9	GAIS	4	2	0	2	+0	+0.5	6
10	Halmstad	4	2	0	2	-3	-3.4	6
11	Norrkoping	4	1	1	2	-6	-0.9	4
12	Kalmar	4	1	0	3	-4	-1.6	3
13	Hammarby	5	1	0	4	-6	–	3
14	Elfsborg	4	1	0	3	-6	+0.6	3
15	AIK	4	0	2	2	-10	-1.9	2
16	Vasteras SK	4	0	0	4	-5	+0.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.