← Match Finder
Champions League
Referee: S Vinčić
Dortmund
S S S T S
0–2
Full-time
Real Madrid
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Dortmund Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 63%
58%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
25%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
42%
75%
Average goals
2,2
3,4
Scored
1,4
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,08 xG 1,13
43% Possession 57%
13 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dortmund Real Madrid
35′
🟨 Vinícius Júnior
Nico Schlotterbeck 🟨
40′
Marcel Sabitzer 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
M. Reus 🔁
↦ K. Adeyemi
72′
74′
⚽ Dani Carvajal 0–1
T. Kroos
Mats Hummels 🟨
79′
S. Haller 🔁
↦ J. Brandt
80′
D. Malen 🔁
↦ E. Can
80′
83′
⚽ Vinícius Júnior 0–2
J. Bellingham
85′
🔁 Joselu
↦ J. Bellingham
86′
🔁 L. Modrić
↦ T. Kroos
J. Bynoe-Gittens 🔁
↦ J. Sancho
87′
90′
🔁 Éder Militão
↦ Rodrygo
94′
🔁 Lucas Vázquez
↦ Vinícius Júnior
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-3-3
1 G. Kobel G
26 J. Ryerson D
15 M. Hummels D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
22 I. Maatsen D
20 M. Sabitzer M
23 E. Can M
19 J. Brandt M
10 J. Sancho F
14 N. Füllkrug F
27 K. Adeyemi F
Bench (12)
11 M. Reus
9 S. Haller
21 D. Malen
43 J. Bynoe-Gittens
38 K. Wätjen
25 N. Süle
35 M. Lotka
17 M. Wolf
6 S. Özcan
18 Y. Moukoko
33 A. Meyer
8 F. Nmecha

Coach: E. Terzić

Real Madrid

4-3-1-2
1 T. Courtois G
2 Dani Carvajal D
22 A. Rüdiger D
6 Nacho D
23 F. Mendy D
15 F. Valverde M
12 E. Camavinga M
8 T. Kroos M
5 J. Bellingham M
11 Rodrygo F
7 Vinícius Júnior F
Bench (12)
14 Joselu
10 L. Modrić
17 Lucas Vázquez
3 Éder Militão
4 D. Alaba
25 Kepa
21 Brahim Díaz
18 A. Tchouaméni
13 A. Lunin
19 Dani Ceballos
20 Fran García
24 A. Güler

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vinčić · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.