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LaLiga2
Referee: Saúl Ais
Almeria
S S T S U
2–0
Full-time
Tenerife
U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Tenerife
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
1,8
0,3
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 41/41 matches
Win Ø 32%
44%
20%
Points per game
1,6
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
63%
39%
Both score Ø 58%
71%
44%
Average goals
3,0
2,1
Scored
1,7
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
15 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Almeria 6. · Tenerife 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Levante 41 21 13 7 +26 76
2 Elche 41 21 11 9 +21 74
3 Mirandes 41 21 9 11 +17 72
4 Oviedo 41 20 12 9 +13 72
5 Santander 41 19 11 11 +13 68
6 Almeria 41 18 12 11 +15 66
7 Granada 41 18 11 12 +12 65
8 Huesca 41 17 10 14 +8 61
9 Eibar 41 15 13 13 +4 58
10 Albacete 41 15 12 14 +0 57
11 Sp Gijon 42 14 14 14 +3 56
12 Cadiz 41 14 13 14 +3 55
13 Burgos 42 15 10 17 -7 55
14 Cordoba 41 14 12 15 -4 54
15 La Coruna 41 13 14 14 +6 53
16 Castellon 42 14 11 17 +2 53
17 Malaga 42 12 17 13 -4 53
18 Zaragoza 42 13 12 17 -7 51
19 Eldense 41 11 12 18 -18 45
20 Tenerife 41 8 12 21 -18 36
21 Ferrol 42 6 12 24 -42 30
22 Cartagena 41 6 5 30 -43 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almeria Tenerife
1–0 Arnau Puigmal
Sergio Arribas
8′
18′
🔁 Fernando Medrano
↦ A. Landázuri
25′
ℹ️ Luismi Cruz
VAR: Penalty cancelled
28′
🟨 Aarón Martín
33′
🟨 Fernando Medrano
Half-time 1–0
53′
🟨 Aitor Sanz
53′
🟨 Luismi Cruz
2–0 Sergio Arribas
Arnau Puigmal
57′
Gonzalo Melero 🔁
↦ Silvi
59′
Nico Melamed 🔁
↦ Arnau Puigmal
59′
62′
🔁 Dani Fernández
↦ Maikel Mesa
62′
🔁 Enric Gallego
↦ Luismi Cruz
62′
🔁 Alejandro Cantero
↦ Aitor Sanz
Dion Lopy 🟨
68′
71′
🟨 Salvi
76′
🔁 Teto
↦ Aarón
M. Milovanović 🔁
↦ L. Suárez
79′
Lázaro 🔁
↦ Léo Baptistão
79′
Pedro Cedillo 🔁
↦ D. Lopy
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Almeria

4-2-3-1
13 Fernando Martínez G
18 Marc Pubill D
21 Chumi D
3 Edgar González D
20 Álex Centelles D
6 D. Lopy M
23 Silvi M
12 Léo Baptistão M
11 Sergio Arribas M
2 Arnau Puigmal M
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (12)
8 Gonzalo Melero
10 Nico Melamed
19 M. Milovanović
7 Lázaro
38 Pedro Cedillo
24 Bruno Langa
28 R. Fettal
1 Luís Maximiano
16 A. Radovanović
36 M. Perović
17 Álex Pozo
4 Kaiky

Coach: Rubi

Tenerife

4-1-4-1
1 Salvi Carrasco G
22 J. Mellot D
12 A. Landázuri D
5 Sergio González D
2 David Rodríguez D
16 Aitor Sanz M
11 Luismi Cruz M
15 Y. Bodiger M
33 Aarón M
8 Y. Diarra M
20 Maikel Mesa F
Bench (9)
3 Fernando Medrano
32 Dani Fernández
18 Enric Gallego
19 Alejandro Cantero
21 Teto
24 José Amo
25 Edgar Badia
9 Ángel Rodríguez
7 Jorge Padilla

Coach: Álvaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,22
U
6,23
B
10,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,51
U2,5 ✓
2,41
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Saúl Ais · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.