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Allsvenskan
Referee: Mohammed Al-Hakim
Malmo FF
S T S U S
0–0
Full-time
AIK
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF AIK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 55%
50%
60%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
50%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,6
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,10 xG 0,77
62% Possession 38%
12 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 9
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 6
2 Offside 6
6 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malmo FF 5. · AIK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Mjallby 10 7 2 1 +13 +1.5 23
2 Elfsborg 10 7 1 2 +9 +5.8 22
3 AIK 10 6 4 0 +7 +1.3 22
4 Hammarby 10 6 3 1 +12 +6.6 21
5 Malmo FF 10 5 3 2 +7 +6.7 18
6 Hacken 10 4 2 4 -1 +2.0 14
7 Norrkoping 10 4 1 5 +0 -4.1 13
8 Degerfors 10 4 1 5 -3 -0.7 13
9 Goteborg 10 4 1 5 -3 +1.7 13
10 GAIS 10 2 6 2 +1 +1.0 12
11 Djurgarden 9 3 2 4 -6 -1.5 11
12 Brommapojkarna 9 3 1 5 -2 +0.4 10
13 Halmstad 10 3 1 6 -12 -7.7 10
14 Sirius 10 2 3 5 -4 -3.7 9
15 Oster 10 2 1 7 -7 -5.7 7
16 Varnamo 10 0 2 8 -11 -3.7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malmo FF AIK
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 K. Karlsson
↦ V. Andersson
58′
🟨 Áron Csongvai
N. Zatterstrom 🔁
↦ P. Jansson
64′
A. Sigurdsson 🔁
↦ I. Kiese
75′
S. Haksabanovic 🔁
↦ A. Christiansen
75′
D. T. Gudjohnsen 🔁
↦ T. Ali
75′
87′
🔁 J. Hove
↦ B. Celina
87′
🔁 A. Kakoullis
↦ J. Guidetti
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-3-1-2
33 M. Ellborg G
17 J. Stryger D
19 C. Rosler D
18 P. Jansson D
25 Busanello D
7 O. Rosengren M
23 L. Johnsen M
38 H. Bolin M
10 A. Christiansen M
22 T. Ali F
9 I. Kiese F
Bench (9)
1 Ricardo Friedrich
2 J. Karlsson
8 A. Sigurdsson
11 E. Ekong
16 O. Berg
29 S. Haksabanovic
32 D. T. Gudjohnsen
35 N. Zatterstrom
40 K. Busuladzic

Coach: Henrik Per-Erik Rydström

AIK

4-2-3-1
15 K. Nordfeldt G
17 M. Thychosen D
32 F. Benkovic D
4 S. Papagiannopoulos D
3 T. Isherwood D
33 A. Csongvai M
7 A. Saletros M
43 V. Andersson
10 B. Celina M
22 J. Uronen M
11 J. Guidetti F
Bench (9)
30 K. Joelsson
26 E. van der Laan
16 B. Tiedemann
21 S. Wilson
5 K. Karlsson
47 A. Fesshaie
45 T. Ayari
8 J. Hove
9 A. Kakoullis

Coach: Mikkjal Kjartansson Thomassen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mohammed Al-Hakim · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.