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Allsvenskan

Referee: Kristoffer Karlsson

Goteborg

T S T S T

3–0

Full-time

Degerfors

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goteborg Degerfors

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

1,8

0,3

Conceded

1,8

2,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-2,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 36%

47%

24%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

59%

65%

Both score Ø 50%

53%

47%

Average goals

2,9

3,2

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

1,5

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,97 xG 1,21

67% Possession 33%

32 Shots 7

10 Shots on target 2

9 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 8

20 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 2

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Goteborg 8. · Degerfors 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	18	13	4	1	+21	+3.6	43
2	Hammarby	18	12	3	3	+18	+12.5	39
3	Elfsborg	18	11	2	5	+10	+1.7	35
4	Malmo FF	18	9	6	3	+14	+10.5	33
5	AIK	18	9	6	3	+8	+3.5	33
6	GAIS	18	8	8	2	+14	+8.1	32
7	Djurgarden	18	7	5	6	+3	+5.3	26
8	Goteborg	17	8	1	8	-2	+1.7	25
9	Brommapojkarna	18	7	1	10	+0	-0.5	22
10	Hacken	18	6	4	8	-7	+1.5	22
11	Norrkoping	18	5	4	9	-6	-10.3	19
12	Halmstad	18	5	3	10	-20	-11.7	18
13	Sirius	18	3	5	10	-8	-4.1	14
14	Oster	18	3	5	10	-11	-10.9	14
15	Degerfors	17	4	2	11	-18	-1.3	14
16	Varnamo	18	1	5	12	-16	-9.5	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hammarby	10	8	1	1	+13	+10.8	25
2	Mjallby	9	7	2	0	+12	+4.9	23
3	Elfsborg	9	6	1	2	+7	+0.3	19
4	AIK	8	5	3	0	+10	+3.5	18
5	Malmo FF	8	5	2	1	+10	+7.4	17
6	GAIS	8	4	3	1	+6	+4.8	15
7	Djurgarden	10	3	5	2	+3	+5.2	14
8	Halmstad	9	4	1	4	-6	-2.5	13
9	Hacken	10	3	2	5	-5	+4.0	11
10	Goteborg	8	3	1	4	+0	+1.4	10
11	Norrkoping	9	3	1	5	-2	-1.4	10
12	Brommapojkarna	9	3	0	6	-3	+0.2	9
13	Sirius	9	2	2	5	-3	+1.0	8
14	Varnamo	10	1	4	5	-5	-5.3	7
15	Oster	8	1	2	5	-6	-4.6	5
16	Degerfors	9	1	2	6	-12	+0.2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Mjallby	9	6	2	1	+9	-1.3	20
2	GAIS	10	4	5	1	+8	+3.3	17
3	Malmo FF	10	4	4	2	+4	+3.1	16
4	Elfsborg	9	5	1	3	+3	+1.4	16
5	Goteborg	9	5	0	4	-2	+0.4	15
6	AIK	10	4	3	3	-2	-0.1	15
7	Hammarby	8	4	2	2	+5	+1.7	14
8	Brommapojkarna	9	4	1	4	+3	-0.7	13
9	Djurgarden	8	4	0	4	+0	+0.0	12
10	Hacken	8	3	2	3	-2	-2.5	11
11	Norrkoping	9	2	3	4	-4	-8.9	9
12	Oster	10	2	3	5	-5	-6.3	9
13	Degerfors	8	3	0	5	-6	-1.5	9
14	Sirius	9	1	3	5	-5	-5.1	6
15	Halmstad	9	1	2	6	-14	-9.2	5
16	Varnamo	8	0	1	7	-11	-4.3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.