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Allsvenskan
Referee: Glenn Nyberg
Degerfors
S U T T S
0–1
Full-time
Elfsborg
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Degerfors Elfsborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,03 xG 0,48
66% Possession 34%
11 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 1
4 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 17
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Degerfors 10. · Elfsborg 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 2 2 0 0 +5 +1.8 6
2 Djurgarden 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Hacken 2 1 1 0 +2 +0.8 4
4 Elfsborg 2 1 1 0 +2 +2.3 4
5 Malmo FF 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Orgryte 2 1 1 0 +2 -0.7 4
7 AIK 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.4 4
8 Vasteras SK 2 1 1 0 +1 -0.9 4
9 Hammarby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Degerfors 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.4 3
11 Brommapojkarna 2 0 2 0 +0 -1.0 2
12 Kalmar 2 0 0 2 -2 0
13 GAIS 2 0 0 2 -3 0
14 Halmstad 2 0 0 2 -4 -1.4 0
15 Goteborg 2 0 0 2 -4 -0.9 0
16 Mjallby 2 0 0 2 -5 +0.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Degerfors Elfsborg
Kazper Karlsson 🟨
24′
Ludvig Fritzson 🟨
32′
37′
🔁 J. Beck
↦ A. Zeneli
Half-time 0–0
Juhani Pikkarainen 🟨
48′
Sebastian Ohlsson 🟨
51′
52′
J. Magnusson 0–1
Marcus Rafferty 🟨
54′
62′
🟨 Taylor Silverholt
63′
🔁 A. Sigurpalsson
↦ T. Silverholt
63′
🔁 V. Okeke
↦ N. Hult
B. Hussein 🔁
↦ K. Karlsson
65′
75′
🔁 L. Ostman
↦ P. Frick
G. Yiriyon 🔁
↦ D. Vukojevic
76′
76′
🔁 R. Mohammed
↦ S. Hedlund
85′
🟨 Julius Beck
O. Leonardsson 🔁
↦ E. Barsoum
87′
95′
🟨 Ari Sigurpálsson
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Degerfors

4-4-2
38 M. Igonen G
6 D. Sundgren D
16 S. Ohlsson D
5 J. Pikkarainen D
18 S. Diatara D
10 M. Rafferty M
4 K. Karlsson M
22 N. Girmai M
20 E. Barsoum M
14 L. Fritzson F
11 D. Vukojevic F
Bench (9)
25 R. Forsell
8 B. Hussein
15 N. Moro
17 A. Taranis
13 G. Yiriyon
19 A. Lindgren
27 Z. Salifu
24 O. Leonardsson
21 A. Berisson

Coach: Henok Goitom

Elfsborg

3-4-3
31 I. Pettersson G
8 S. Holmen D
6 R. Wikstrom D
4 T. Isherwood D
15 S. Hedlund M
18 J. Magnusson M
10 S. Olsson M
23 N. Hult M
11 T. Silverholt F
17 P. Frick F
9 A. Zeneli F
Bench (9)
1 T. Erlandsson
25 A. Sigurpalsson
16 A. Hellemaa
24 F. Ihler
20 G. Rapp
2 R. Mohammed
19 J. Beck
21 L. Ostman
27 V. Okeke

Coach: Bjorn Hamberg

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Glenn Nyberg · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.