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Allsvenskan
Referee: Victor Wolf
Malmo FF
S T T T T
5–2
Full-time
Halmstad
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malmo FF Halmstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,3
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
2,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Allsvenskan · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
33%
11%
Points per game
1,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
78%
56%
Average goals
3,7
2,4
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

3,24 xG 1,73
66% Possession 34%
19 Shots 14
10 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malmo FF 12. · Halmstad 15. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sirius 9 8 1 0 +14 +7.7 25
2 Elfsborg 11 4 6 1 +5 +1.8 18
3 Hammarby 10 5 2 3 +12 +6.9 17
4 Hacken 9 4 5 0 +5 +3.3 17
5 Mjallby 10 4 3 3 +3 -1.9 15
6 Brommapojkarna 9 4 2 3 -1 -1.1 14
7 Djurgarden 9 4 1 4 +6 +3.3 13
8 GAIS 10 3 3 4 +2 +1.1 12
9 AIK 9 3 3 3 -1 -3.7 12
10 Vasteras SK 9 3 3 3 -4 -5.2 12
11 Kalmar 9 3 1 5 -1 +2.6 10
12 Malmo FF 9 3 1 5 -3 -2.2 10
13 Degerfors 9 2 3 4 -4 -2.1 9
14 Goteborg 9 1 4 4 -10 -1.0 7
15 Halmstad 9 1 3 5 -8 -3.4 6
16 Orgryte 10 1 3 6 -15 -5.9 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malmo FF Halmstad
1–0 A. Skogmar ⚽
4′
7′
⚽ O. Faraj 1–1
R. Kaib
26′
⚽ O. Faraj 1–2
M. Illary
2–2 K. Busuladzic ⚽
30′
Half-time 3–2
3–2 E. Botheim ⚽
S. Haksabanovic
60′
4–2 E. Botheim ⚽
K. Busuladzic
62′
5–2 E. Botheim ⚽
68′
73′
🔁 A. Damnjanovic
↦ M. Illary
73′
🔁 O. Kapsimalis
↦ H. Carneil
73′
🔁 M. Persson
↦ O. Faraj
Bleon Kurtulus 🟨
76′
T. Lundbergh 🔁
↦ O. Sjostrand
81′
E. Ekong 🔁
↦ E. Botheim
87′
D. T. Gudjohnsen 🔁
↦ A. Skogmar
87′
88′
🔁 O. Liimatta
↦ L. Arvidsson
S. Vecchia 🔁
↦ S. Haksabanovic
92′
J. Milosavljevic 🔁
↦ K. Busuladzic
92′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Malmo FF

4-1-3-2
1 R. Olsen G
17 J. Stryger D
4 B. Kurtulus D
5 A. Djuric D
25 Busanello D
7 O. Rosengren M
40 K. Busuladzic M
37 A. Skogmar M
24 O. Sjostrand M
29 S. Haksabanovic F
20 E. Botheim F
Bench (9)
27 J. Dahlin
6 Y. Karabelyov
21 S. Vecchia
11 E. Ekong
44 M. Palsson
2 J. Karlsson
32 D. T. Gudjohnsen
28 J. Milosavljevic
47 T. Lundbergh

Coach: Miguel Ramirez

Halmstad

4-4-2
1 T. Ronning G
17 A. Boman D
5 P. Gregor D
16 E. Tougjas D
24 R. Kaib D
19 M. Illary M
6 J. Allansson M
27 R. Ascone M
14 H. Carneil M
11 L. Arvidsson F
9 O. Faraj F
Bench (9)
38 W. Lykke
8 N. Maenpaa
15 G. Friberg
20 O. Liimatta
21 J. Nilsson
4 F. Schyberg
25 A. Damnjanovic
22 O. Kapsimalis
18 M. Persson

Coach: Stuart Baxter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
U
–
B
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Victor Wolf · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,03 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.