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Allsvenskan

Referee: Oscar Johnson

Hammarby

U U S S T

4–1

Full-time

Malmo FF

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hammarby Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,5

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

57%

43%

Points per game

2,0

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

43%

57%

Both score Ø 57%

43%

71%

Average goals

3,1

3,3

Scored

2,4

1,7

Conceded

0,7

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

3,62 xG 1,04

51% Possession 49%

28 Shots 10

12 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 8

10 Corners 3

3 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hammarby 3. · Malmo FF 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	7	6	1	0	+12	+7.7	19
2	Elfsborg	8	4	3	1	+5	+1.8	15
3	Hammarby	7	4	2	1	+12	+5.0	14
4	Djurgarden	7	4	1	2	+8	+3.3	13
5	Hacken	7	3	4	0	+4	+2.6	13
6	Mjallby	7	4	1	2	+4	-1.2	13
7	Malmo FF	7	3	1	3	+1	+0.3	10
8	GAIS	8	2	3	3	+1	+0.4	9
9	Degerfors	8	2	3	3	-3	-2.1	9
10	AIK	7	2	2	3	-2	-2.5	8
11	Brommapojkarna	7	2	2	3	-3	+1.1	8
12	Vasteras SK	7	2	2	3	-5	-6.3	8
13	Kalmar	7	2	1	4	-1	+0.3	7
14	Orgryte	7	1	2	4	-12	-4.3	5
15	Halmstad	8	0	3	5	-10	-3.4	3
16	Goteborg	7	0	3	4	-11	-2.7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	4	4	0	0	+8	+5.9	12
2	Hammarby	4	3	1	0	+13	+4.4	10
3	Elfsborg	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.4	10
4	Hacken	4	2	2	0	+2	+2.3	8
5	Djurgarden	4	2	1	1	+6	+1.2	7
6	Kalmar	4	2	1	1	+2	+1.1	7
7	Mjallby	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.4	6
8	AIK	4	2	0	2	-1	-2.1	6
9	GAIS	4	1	2	1	+3	-0.1	5
10	Degerfors	5	1	1	3	-6	-2.4	4
11	Malmo FF	3	1	0	2	+0	+1.3	3
12	Vasteras SK	3	0	2	1	-1	-1.4	2
13	Orgryte	3	0	2	1	-1	+1.2	2
14	Halmstad	4	0	2	2	-5	-2.2	2
15	Brommapojkarna	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.4	1
16	Goteborg	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.0	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sirius	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.8	7
2	Mjallby	4	2	1	1	+1	-0.8	7
3	Malmo FF	4	2	1	1	+1	-1.0	7
4	Brommapojkarna	5	2	1	2	-2	+0.7	7
5	Djurgarden	3	2	0	1	+2	+2.1	6
6	Vasteras SK	4	2	0	2	-4	-4.9	6
7	Degerfors	3	1	2	0	+3	+0.3	5
8	Hacken	3	1	2	0	+2	+0.3	5
9	Elfsborg	4	1	2	1	+0	+0.4	5
10	Hammarby	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.5	4
11	GAIS	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.6	4
12	Orgryte	4	1	0	3	-11	-5.5	3
13	AIK	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.4	2
14	Goteborg	4	0	2	2	-8	-2.7	2
15	Halmstad	4	0	1	3	-5	-1.1	1
16	Kalmar	3	0	0	3	-3	-0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.