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Ekstraklasa
Warta Poznan
T S U S S
1–2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Warta Poznan Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
1,8
1,5
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
This season — Ekstraklasa · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 34%
39%
28%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
39%
50%
Both score Ø 48%
39%
56%
Average goals
2,1
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Warta Poznan 10. · Lech Poznan 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Legia 18 11 3 4 +12 36
2 Pogon Szczecin 18 10 5 3 +13 35
3 Rakow 19 10 4 5 +10 34
4 Gornik Zabrze 18 8 3 7 +2 27
5 Lechia Gdansk 18 8 2 8 +2 26
6 Slask Wroclaw 18 7 4 7 +3 25
7 Jagiellonia 18 7 4 7 -2 25
8 Zaglebie 18 6 5 7 -1 23
9 Cracovia 18 5 8 5 -1 23
10 Warta Poznan 18 7 2 9 -3 23
11 Lech Poznan 18 5 7 6 +1 22
12 Wisla Plock 17 6 4 7 -3 22
13 Wisla 18 5 6 7 +2 21
14 Piast Gliwice 18 5 6 7 +1 21
15 Podbeskidzie 19 4 5 10 -24 17
16 Stal Mielec 17 3 6 8 -12 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.