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Ekstraklasa
Referee: S Krasny
2–3
Full-time
Warta Poznan
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Radomiak Radom Warta Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — Ekstraklasa · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
43%
36%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
36%
29%
Both score Ø 29%
36%
21%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,1
0,9
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

64% Possession 36%
7 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Radomiak Radom 9. · Warta Poznan 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rakow 15 11 2 2 +16 35
2 Legia 15 8 4 3 +4 28
3 Pogon Szczecin 15 7 5 3 +6 26
4 Widzew Lodz 15 8 2 5 +6 26
5 Wisla Plock 15 7 4 4 +10 25
6 Stal Mielec 15 7 2 6 +0 23
7 Cracovia 15 6 4 5 +6 22
8 Lech Poznan 14 6 4 4 +3 22
9 Radomiak Radom 14 6 2 6 -2 20
10 Slask Wroclaw 15 5 5 5 -4 20
11 Jagiellonia 15 4 6 5 +1 18
12 Warta Poznan 14 5 3 6 -1 18
13 Gornik Zabrze 14 4 5 5 -1 17
14 Zaglebie 15 4 5 6 -10 17
15 Lechia Gdansk 14 4 2 8 -10 14
16 Piast Gliwice 15 3 4 8 -4 13
17 Korona Kielce 15 3 4 8 -7 13
18 Legnica 14 1 3 10 -13 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Radomiak Radom Warta Poznan
18′
🟨 Niilo Mäenpää
20′
⚽ G. Kobylak 1–0
own goal
32′
⚽ Miguel Luís 1–1
A. Zreľák
Half-time 1–1
D. Jakubik 🔁
↦ Lisandro Semedo
46′
M. Feliks 🔁
↦ Pedro Justiniano
46′
J. Nowakowski 🔁
↦ R. Alves
46′
46′
🔁 M. Kopczyński
↦ N. Mäenpää
2–1 Luís Machado ⚽
46′
3–1 Filipe Nascimento ⚽
64′
65′
⚽ A. Zreľák 3–2
K. Szmyt
D. Pawłowski 🔁
↦ M. Grzybek
66′
74′
🔁 M. Żurawski
↦ K. Szmyt
78′
🔁 E. Destan
↦ A. Zreľák
78′
🔁 W. Pleśnierowicz
↦ Miguel Luís
Leândro 🔁
↦ Luís Machado
84′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Radomiak Radom

3-4-3
1 G. Kobylak G
3 Pedro Justiniano D
29 Raphael Rossi D
16 M. Cichocki D
30 M. Grzybek M
23 Filipe Nascimento M
10 R. Alves M
33 D. Abramowicz M
7 Lisandro Semedo F
13 Maurides F
20 Luís Machado F
Bench (9)
14 D. Jakubik
99 M. Feliks
90 J. Nowakowski
5 D. Pawłowski
9 Leândro
35 D. Łukasik
75 J. Ojrzyński
97 D. Sokół
22 Tiago Matos

Coach: M. Lewandowski

Warta Poznan

3-4-3
33 J. Grobelny G
54 D. Stavropoulos D
44 D. Szymonowicz D
4 R. Ivanov D
2 J. Grzesik M
21 M. Kupczak M
8 N. Mäenpää M
14 K. Kościelny M
24 K. Szmyt F
99 A. Zreľák F
16 Miguel Luís F
Bench (9)
15 M. Kopczyński
6 M. Żurawski
94 E. Destan
34 W. Pleśnierowicz
1 A. Lis
23 M. Rakowski
25 J. Paszkowski
11 M. Jakóbowski
17 S. Sarbinowski

Coach: D. Szulczek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
U
–
B ✓
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

S Krasny · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.