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Puchar Polski

Referee: P Pskit

Zawisza Bydgoszcz

1–3

Full-time

Radomiak Radom

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zawisza Bydgoszcz Radomiak Radom

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

100%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

This season — Puchar Polski · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Zawisza Bydgoszcz 25. · Radomiak Radom 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogoń Siedlce	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Motor Lublin	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Kalisz	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Slask Wroclaw	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Legia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Piast Gliwice	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Lechia Zielona Góra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Resovia Rzeszów	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Radunia Stężyca	3	2	0	1	+0	6
11	Wisla	2	1	1	0	+5	4
12	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2	1	1	0	+3	4
13	Olimpia Elbląg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
14	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	Górnik Łęczna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+3	3
18	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
22	Jastrzębie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
29	Chrobry Głogów	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Wisla Plock	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	LKS Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
39	Stal Mielec	2	0	1	1	-3	1
40	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Lechia Dzierżoniów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
69	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogoń Siedlce	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Motor Lublin	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Lechia Zielona Góra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Resovia Rzeszów	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Kalisz	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Jastrzębie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Górnik Łęczna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Radunia Stężyca	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	LKS Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Wisla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Lechia Dzierżoniów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-3	0
37	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-3	0
38	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
39	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
40	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Legia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Piast Gliwice	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Olimpia Elbląg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
5	Puszcza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Kalisz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Zaglebie	2	1	0	1	+3	3
9	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Radunia Stężyca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
17	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Warta Poznan	2	1	0	1	+1	3
19	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Chrobry Głogów	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
24	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
29	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zawisza Bydgoszcz Radomiak Radom

1–0 P. Okuniewicz ⚽

15′

28′

⚽ Filipe Nascimento 1–1

K. Sochan 🟨

35′

37′

🟨 F. Nascimento

Half-time 1–1

46′

🟨 M. Feliks

K. Żylski 🔁

↦ S. Wędzelewski

53′

W. Mielcarek 🟨

58′

K. Zylski 🟨

59′

66′

🔁 Lisandro Semedo

↦ Leândro

67′

🔁 Luizão

↦ Tiago Matos

A. Paliwoda 🟨

70′

P. Urbanski 🟨

71′

73′

⚽ Filipe Nascimento 1–2

76′

🔁 D. Sokół

↦ M. Feliks

79′

🟨 D. Jakubik

80′

⚽ Maurides 1–3

83′

🔁 D. Łukasik

↦ Maurides

83′

🔁 J. Nowakowski

↦ Filipe Nascimento

A. Serwach 🔁

↦ M. Koziara

84′

Gabriel Falciano 🔁

↦ W. Mielcarek

84′

M. Dahms 🔁

↦ S. Rugowski

85′

Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Zawisza Bydgoszcz

Michał Oczkowski

P. Urbański

A. Paliwoda

K. Nowak

Mateusz Oczkowski

K. Sochań

M. Koziara

S. Wędzelewski

S. Rugowski

W. Mielcarek

P. Okuniewicz

Bench (9)

K. Żylski

A. Serwach

Gabriel Falciano

M. Dahms

Fellipe Tavares

J. Chachuła

J. Tkaczyk

S. Michalski

W. Żelazo

Coach: P. Kołc

Radomiak Radom

J. Ojrzyński

D. Abramowicz

D. Jakubik

M. Cichocki

Raphael Rossi

D. Pawłowski

Filipe Nascimento

Tiago Matos

Maurides

Leândro

M. Feliks

Bench (9)

Lisandro Semedo

Luizão

D. Sokół

D. Łukasik

J. Nowakowski

A. Gajgier

G. Kobylak

N. Korzeniecki

Pedro Justiniano

Coach: M. Lewandowski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

31. Aug CUP 4 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Zawisza Bydgoszcz

Radomiak Radom

Odds comparison

Recent matches