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Puchar Polski

Referee: M Kochanek

Sandecja Nowy Sącz

2–1

Full-time

Warta Poznan

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandecja Nowy Sącz Warta Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

100%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

100%

17%

Average goals

4,0

1,7

Scored

3,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,3

This season — Puchar Polski · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

3,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Sandecja Nowy Sącz 19. · Warta Poznan 21. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kalisz	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Motor Lublin	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Legia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Piast Gliwice	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Pogoń Siedlce	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Lechia Zielona Góra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Resovia Rzeszów	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Radunia Stężyca	3	2	0	1	+0	6
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Olimpia Elbląg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Górnik Łęczna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+5	3
14	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Chrobry Głogów	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Jastrzębie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Wisla Plock	2	1	0	1	-1	3
32	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	LKS Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
39	Stal Mielec	2	0	1	1	-3	1
40	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Lechia Dzierżoniów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
66	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
67	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
68	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lechia Zielona Góra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Resovia Rzeszów	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Kalisz	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Stal Rzeszów	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Jastrzębie	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Ruch Chorzow	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Górnik Łęczna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Radunia Stężyca	2	1	0	1	-2	3
14	LKS Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Garbarnia Kraków	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Nieciecza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Stal Stalowa Wola	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Wikielec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Lechia Dzierżoniów	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Odra Opole	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	SKRA Częstochowa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Łagów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Polonia Środa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Pogoń Szczecin II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Radomsko	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Bałtyk Gdynia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Stal Mielec	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Wisla Plock	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Wigry Suwałki	1	0	0	1	-4	0
36	Start Jełowa	1	0	0	1	-4	0
37	Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	Legia Warszawa II	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Piast Gliwice	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Olimpia Elbląg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
4	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Kalisz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Slask Wroclaw	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Lechia Gdansk	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Chrobry Głogów	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	GKS Katowice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Radunia Stężyca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Warta Poznan	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
18	Pogoń Siedlce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Puszcza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Rakow	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Jagiellonia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
24	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Stal Mielec	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Górnik Łęczna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-1	1
29	Wisła Puławy	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Podbeskidzie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Tychy 71	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Legnica	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Znicz Pruszków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Sokół Ostróda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
39	Chełmianka Chełm	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandecja Nowy Sącz Warta Poznan

B. Kasprzak 🟨

24′

1–0 J. Wróbel ⚽

26′

42′

🔁 J. Grzesik

↦ M. Żurawski

Half-time 1–0

49′

🟨 R. Ivanov

58′

⚽ J. Grzesik 1–1

K. Slaby 🟨

59′

64′

🔁 D. Stavropoulos

↦ R. Ivanov

64′

🔁 Miguel Luís

↦ A. Zreľák

M. Mas 🟨

65′

M. Surzyn 🔁

↦ J. Wróbel

65′

K. Toporkiewicz 🔁

↦ B. Kasprzak

75′

M. Gabrych 🔁

↦ M. Mas

75′

81′

🔁 M. Corryn

↦ W. Pleśnierowicz

91′

🟨 L. Miguel

2–1 Ł. Kosakiewicz ⚽

93′

Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sandecja Nowy Sącz

4-2-3-1

M. Putnocký G

M. Piter-Bučko D

K. Słaby

Ł. Kosakiewicz D

T. Boczek D

D. Šovšić M

B. Kasprzak

M. Walski M

M. Fall M

J. Wróbel F

M. Mas F

Bench (8)

M. Surzyn

K. Toporkiewicz

M. Gabrych

I. Maślanka

J. Iskra

P. Kapica

S. Tokarz

S. Łusiusz

Coach: S. Varga

Warta Poznan

3-4-2-1

J. Grobelny G

K. Kościelny D

R. Ivanov D

K. Matuszewski M

W. Pleśnierowicz D

M. Kupczak M

N. Mäenpää M

M. Żurawski M

K. Szmyt M

A. Zreľák F

E. Destan F

Bench (8)

J. Grzesik

D. Stavropoulos

Miguel Luís

M. Corryn

J. Paszkowski

M. Kopczyński

S. Sarbinowski

M. Kustosz

Coach: D. Szulczek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

31. Aug CUP 4 years ago

Referee

M Kochanek · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,0 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

23,0 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Sandecja Nowy Sącz

Warta Poznan

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee