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Ekstraklasa

Referee: B Frankowski

Jagiellonia

S U S S S

3–0

Full-time

Zaglebie

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia Zaglebie

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 10/11 matches

Win Ø 63%

70%

55%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

80%

36%

Both score Ø 63%

70%

55%

Average goals

3,7

2,4

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,03 xG 0,40

51% Possession 49%

17 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Jagiellonia 3. · Zaglebie 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	11	7	2	2	+8	+2.7	23
2	Rakow	10	7	1	2	+10	+5.3	22
3	Jagiellonia	10	7	1	2	+9	+4.0	22
4	Legia	10	6	2	2	+8	+1.3	20
5	Lech Poznan	10	6	2	2	+5	-1.3	20
6	Zaglebie	11	6	2	3	+2	+1.0	20
7	Pogon Szczecin	12	6	1	5	+9	+5.9	19
8	Piast Gliwice	12	2	8	2	+0	+9.5	14
9	Radomiak Radom	11	4	2	5	-1	+1.1	14
10	Widzew Lodz	11	4	2	5	-2	-3.3	14
11	Cracovia	10	3	4	3	-4	-0.2	13
12	Stal Mielec	11	3	3	5	+0	-4.0	12
13	Warta Poznan	11	2	4	5	-2	-0.0	10
14	Korona Kielce	10	2	4	4	-2	-2.6	10
15	Gornik Zabrze	11	2	4	5	-8	-8.7	10
16	Puszcza	11	2	3	6	-10	-6.3	9
17	Ruch Chorzow	11	1	4	6	-9	-3.1	7
18	LKS Lodz	11	2	1	8	-13	-1.3	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	6	5	1	0	+11	+5.1	16
2	Jagiellonia	5	5	0	0	+10	+5.5	15
3	Legia	6	5	0	1	+9	+3.1	15
4	Zaglebie	6	4	2	0	+4	+1.5	14
5	Lech Poznan	5	4	1	0	+9	+2.9	13
6	Widzew Lodz	5	4	0	1	+3	+1.9	12
7	Stal Mielec	6	3	2	1	+5	+0.3	11
8	Slask Wroclaw	5	3	1	1	+3	+3.2	10
9	Pogon Szczecin	6	3	0	3	+3	+7.6	9
10	Piast Gliwice	6	2	3	1	+1	+7.6	9
11	Radomiak Radom	5	2	2	1	+3	+1.4	8
12	Puszcza	5	2	2	1	+0	-0.6	8
13	LKS Lodz	5	2	1	2	-2	–	7
14	Korona Kielce	5	1	3	1	+1	+3.0	6
15	Warta Poznan	6	1	2	3	-2	+0.7	5
16	Gornik Zabrze	5	1	2	2	-3	-2.5	5
17	Cracovia	5	1	2	2	-5	-1.0	5
18	Ruch Chorzow	5	1	1	3	-4	-0.8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Slask Wroclaw	6	4	1	1	+5	-0.5	13
2	Pogon Szczecin	6	3	1	2	+6	-1.7	10
3	Cracovia	5	2	2	1	+1	+0.8	8
4	Jagiellonia	5	2	1	2	-1	-1.5	7
5	Lech Poznan	5	2	1	2	-4	-4.1	7
6	Rakow	4	2	0	2	-1	+0.2	6
7	Zaglebie	5	2	0	3	-2	-0.6	6
8	Radomiak Radom	6	2	0	4	-4	-0.3	6
9	Warta Poznan	5	1	2	2	+0	-0.8	5
10	Legia	4	1	2	1	-1	-1.7	5
11	Piast Gliwice	6	0	5	1	-1	+1.9	5
12	Gornik Zabrze	6	1	2	3	-5	-6.2	5
13	Korona Kielce	5	1	1	3	-3	-5.5	4
14	Ruch Chorzow	6	0	3	3	-5	-2.3	3
15	Widzew Lodz	6	0	2	4	-5	-5.2	2
16	Stal Mielec	5	0	1	4	-5	-4.3	1
17	Puszcza	6	0	1	5	-10	-5.7	1
18	LKS Lodz	6	0	0	6	-11	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.