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Taça de Portugal

Referee: Carlos Macedo

Vilar de Perdizes

T S

0–2

Full-time

Porto

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vilar de Perdizes Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

5,0

1,8

Scored

2,5

1,2

Conceded

2,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Felgueiras 1932	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Academica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	CD Olivais e Moscavide	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Sintrense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	FC Serpa	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Rebordosa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Alverca	2	1	1	0	+13	4
9	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	1	0	+7	4
10	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+4	4
11	Valadares Gaia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
12	Montalegre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	1	1	0	+2	4
14	Pêro Pinheiro	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+12	3
16	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	1	0	1	+9	3
17	Amora	2	1	0	1	+7	3
18	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+5	3
19	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+5	3
20	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+5	3
21	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
22	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
23	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	0	1	+4	3
24	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	Vilar de Perdizes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Mirandela	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+1	3
43	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Quarteirense SAD	2	1	0	1	+1	3
45	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Santa Maria FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Tocha	2	1	0	1	+0	3
56	Sandinenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
58	Alqueidão da Serra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
59	Fabril Barreiro	2	1	0	1	-1	3
60	Ribeirão	2	1	0	1	-1	3
61	Florgrade	2	1	0	1	-2	3
62	Lusitânia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
63	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
64	União Micaelense	2	1	0	1	-3	3
65	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	-3	3
66	Pombal	2	1	0	1	-3	3
67	Peniche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
68	Atlético Arcos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Atlético Malveira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
71	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
72	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	Oliveirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Atlético CP	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Sanjoanense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
80	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
81	SC Covilha	2	0	1	1	-3	1
82	Os Limianos	2	0	1	1	-4	1
83	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	União de Tomar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Gouveia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Brito	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
117	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	FC Barreirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Luzense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
122	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
123	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
124	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
125	Gafetense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
126	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
127	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0
128	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
129	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
130	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-12	0
131	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Academica	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Valadares Gaia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
3	Lusitano Évora 1911	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+13	3
5	Lusitânia Lourosa	2	1	0	1	+9	3
6	Amora	1	1	0	0	+8	3
7	União Santarém	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Moncarapachense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Paredes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Vilar de Perdizes	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	Florgrade	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Salgueiros	2	1	0	1	+1	3
19	Mortágua	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	1º Dezembro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	União Micaelense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	O Elvas	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Louletano	2	1	0	1	+0	3
25	Alqueidão da Serra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
26	Rebordosa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
27	Lusitânia	2	1	0	1	-2	3
28	Castrense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
29	Peniche	2	0	2	0	+0	2
30	Atlético Arcos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Anadia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Os Limianos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	União Lamas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Pêro Pinheiro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Atlético CP	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Portosantense	2	0	1	1	-2	1
38	Fafe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	União de Tomar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Real	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Padernense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Sanjoanense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	São João Ver	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Guadalupe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Quarteirense SAD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Tocha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Sandinenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Aliados Lordelo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Sertanense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Brito	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Flamengos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Vila Real	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Os Vilanovenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Ribeirão	1	0	0	1	-3	0
64	FC Barreirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Vitória de Sernache	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Luzense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Pombal	1	0	0	1	-5	0
68	AD Fornos Algodres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
69	Ponte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
70	Gafetense	1	0	0	1	-5	0
71	Amiense	1	0	0	1	-7	0
72	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-12	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	CD Olivais e Moscavide	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Montalegre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+12	3
5	Benfica Castelo Branco	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Vilaverdense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Oliveira Hospital	2	1	0	1	+4	3
10	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Vila Meã	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Mirandela	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Rebordosa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Sandinenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Tirsense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	AD Marco 09	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Amarante	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Tocha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Quarteirense SAD	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Ribeirão	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Pombal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Sintrense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Pêro Pinheiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Santa Maria FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Torreense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Leixoes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Pevidem	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Fabril Barreiro	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	AVS	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	-3	3
43	Atlético Malveira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Sanjoanense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Varzim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Paredes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Oliveirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Caldas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Marinhense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	SC Covilha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Gondomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	União Santarém	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	CF Oliveira Douro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	CD Torres Novas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Lobão	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Gouveia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Penedo Gordo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Alcochetense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Lanheses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Beira-Mar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Foz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Operário	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	União de Coimbra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Portel	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	União Micaelense	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Florgrade	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Torre de Moncorvo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Os Limianos	1	0	0	1	-4	0
77	Proença-a-Nova	1	0	0	1	-6	0
78	Vitória do Pico	1	0	0	1	-8	0
79	Régua	1	0	0	1	-10	0
80	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vilar de Perdizes Porto

Andre Mendy 🟨

12′

36′

⚽ André Franco 0–1

Half-time 0–1

61′

🔁 Francisco Conceição

↦ Galeno

61′

🔁 Evanilson

↦ Fran Navarro

65′

⚽ Evanilson 0–2

Diogo Almeida 🔁

↦ A. Mendy

69′

J. Rentería 🔁

↦ Muelson Samate

69′

Pedro Parente 🔁

↦ A. Raymond

74′

Marcelo 🔁

↦ F. Sanchez

74′

🔁 Martim Fernandes

↦ Nico González

74′

🔁 João Mendes

↦ João Mário

Rodrigo Neves 🔁

↦ B. Ouattara

81′

84′

🔁 Gonçalo Borges

↦ Pepê Aquino

94′

🟨 M. Grujic

Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Vilar de Perdizes

99 Daniel Gomes

30 B. Ouattara

3 Pedro Miguel

6 Alisson Santos

23 A. Raymond

13 J. Moreno

25 Muelson Samate

8 A. De Armas

19 F. Sanchez

9 Paulo Costa

14 A. Mendy

Bench (9)

10 Diogo Almeida

11 J. Rentería

24 Pedro Parente

76 Marcelo

4 Rodrigo Neves

18 Dylan Esteves

81 Pedro Palha

87 Moisés Gomes

J. Lopez

Coach: Vítor Gamito

Porto

Cláudio Ramos

2 Fábio Cardoso

Zé Pedro

João Mário

8 M. Grujić

20 André Franco

Nico González

13 Galeno

Pepê Aquino

Fran Navarro

D. Namaso

Bench (9)

10 Francisco Conceição

30 Evanilson

Martim Fernandes

João Mendes

70 Gonçalo Borges

28 Romário Baró

29 Toni Martínez

87 Bernardo Folha

99 Diogo Costa

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

24. Sep TP 2 years ago

Vilar de Perdizes

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira

2. Oct TP 3 years ago

Referee

Carlos Macedo · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,8 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

27,2 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Vilar de Perdizes

Porto

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee