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Ekstraklasa
Referee: M Szczerbowicz
Pogon Szczecin
T S T U S
3–0
Full-time
Korona Kielce
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogon Szczecin Korona Kielce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,29 xG 0,28
51% Possession 49%
17 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Mar -24 Korona Kielce – Pogon Szczecin 2–2 16. Sep -23 Pogon Szczecin – Korona Kielce 3–1 18. Mar -23 Pogon Szczecin – Korona Kielce 0–0 4. Sep -22 Korona Kielce – Pogon Szczecin 1–2 20. Dec -19 Pogon Szczecin – Korona Kielce 0–1

Match report

Pogon Szczecin Korona Kielce
Fredrik Ulvestad 🟨
9′
9′
🟨 Hubert Zwozny
33′
🟨 Miłosz Strzeboński
1–0 E. Koulouris ⚽
L. Koútris
35′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 E. Koulouris ⚽
47′
54′
🔁 M. Remacle
↦ S. Nagamatsu
54′
🔁 W. Długosz
↦ D. Błanik
54′
🔁 Adrián Dalmau
↦ E. Shikavka
54′
🔁 Pedro Nuno
↦ M. Strzeboński
K. Łukasiak 🔁
↦ A. Gorgon
66′
P. Paryzek 🔁
↦ K. Grosicki
67′
70′
🟨 Mariusz Fornalczyk
João Gamboa 🔁
↦ A. Przyborek
83′
3–0 K. Łukasiak ⚽
V. Bichakhchyan
84′
86′
🔁 A. Chojecki
↦ M. Fornalczyk
Léo Borges 🔁
↦ E. Koulouris
89′
O. Korczakowski 🔁
↦ V. Bichakhchyan
89′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Pogon Szczecin

4-1-4-1
77 V. Cojocaru G
28 L. Wahlqvist D
23 B. Zech D
33 M. Malec D
32 L. Koútris D
8 F. Ulvestad M
22 V. Bichakhchyan M
10 A. Przyborek M
20 A. Gorgon M
11 K. Grosicki M
9 E. Koulouris F
Bench (9)
19 K. Łukasiak
51 P. Paryzek
21 João Gamboa
4 Léo Borges
27 O. Korczakowski
61 K. Smoliński
68 D. Lončar
17 J. Lis
31 K. Kamiński

Coach: J. Gustafsson

Korona Kielce

4-1-4-1
1 X. Dziekoński G
37 H. Zwoźny D
4 P. Malarczyk D
66 M. Trojak D
3 K. Matuszewski D
18 Y. Hofmeister M
7 D. Błanik M
10 S. Nagamatsu M
13 M. Strzeboński M
17 M. Fornalczyk M
9 E. Shikavka F
Bench (9)
8 M. Remacle
71 W. Długosz
20 Adrián Dalmau
27 Pedro Nuno
77 A. Chojecki
87 R. Mamla
88 W. Kamiński
6 M. Pięczek
99 D. Bąk

Coach: K. Kuzera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Szczerbowicz · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.