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Ekstraklasa

Referee: S Marciniak

Korona Kielce

S T T S U

1–2

Full-time

Pogon Szczecin

S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Pogon Szczecin

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

43%

57%

Points per game

1,4

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

29%

71%

Both score Ø 50%

43%

57%

Average goals

2,1

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

40% Possession 60%

13 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Korona Kielce 9. · Pogon Szczecin 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Legia	8	5	2	1	+4	17
2	Wisla Plock	7	5	1	1	+12	16
3	Cracovia	8	4	1	3	+5	13
4	Pogon Szczecin	7	4	1	2	+4	13
5	Stal Mielec	8	4	1	3	+2	13
6	Rakow	7	4	1	2	+2	13
7	Radomiak Radom	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Widzew Lodz	7	3	1	3	+1	10
9	Korona Kielce	7	3	1	3	+1	10
10	Warta Poznan	8	3	1	4	-3	10
11	Jagiellonia	8	2	3	3	-1	9
12	Zaglebie	8	2	3	3	-4	9
13	Slask Wroclaw	8	2	3	3	-5	9
14	Gornik Zabrze	6	2	2	2	+0	8
15	Lech Poznan	6	2	1	3	-1	7
16	Piast Gliwice	6	2	0	4	-1	6
17	Legnica	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Lechia Gdansk	7	1	1	5	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pogon Szczecin	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Legia	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Rakow	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Wisla Plock	3	3	0	0	+7	9
5	Cracovia	5	3	0	2	+5	9
6	Stal Mielec	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Jagiellonia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Slask Wroclaw	4	1	2	1	-2	5
9	Korona Kielce	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Radomiak Radom	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Gornik Zabrze	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Piast Gliwice	2	1	0	1	+3	3
13	Widzew Lodz	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Legnica	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Zaglebie	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Lech Poznan	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Warta Poznan	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Warta Poznan	5	3	1	1	+3	10
2	Wisla Plock	4	2	1	1	+5	7
3	Widzew Lodz	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Radomiak Radom	4	2	1	1	+1	7
5	Legia	4	2	1	1	-1	7
6	Korona Kielce	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Stal Mielec	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Zaglebie	4	2	0	2	-3	6
9	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Lech Poznan	2	1	1	0	+3	4
11	Cracovia	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Slask Wroclaw	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Jagiellonia	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Rakow	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Pogon Szczecin	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Piast Gliwice	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Lechia Gdansk	4	1	0	3	-6	3
18	Legnica	3	0	1	2	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.