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Puchar Polski

Referee: M Szczerbowicz

Motor Lublin

S S S T S

0–1

Full-time

Puszcza

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motor Lublin Puszcza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisła Puławy	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Stal Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Radunia Stężyca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Garbarnia Kraków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Korona Kielce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Pogoń Siedlce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Kalisz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Jastrzębie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Jagiellonia II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0
28	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
29	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-4	0
30	Start Krasnystaw	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wisła Puławy	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Polonia Warszawa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Kotwica Kołobrzeg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Pogoń Siedlce	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Kalisz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Stomil Olsztyn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Jagiellonia II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Miedź Legnica II	1	0	0	1	-3	0
13	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-4	0
14	Start Krasnystaw	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Stal Rzeszów	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Podbeskidzie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Radunia Stężyca	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Garbarnia Kraków	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Korona Kielce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Jastrzębie	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Olimpia Elbląg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Zagłębie Lubin II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Lech Poznań II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Chrobry Głogów	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Hutnik Kraków	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Śląsk Wrocław II	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Górnik Polkowice	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.