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Ekstraklasa
Referee: P Malec
Zaglebie
S S T U S
3–0
Full-time
Slask Wroclaw
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaglebie Slask Wroclaw
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 13/12 matches
Win Ø 20%
31%
8%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
31%
33%
Both score Ø 48%
38%
58%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,17 xG 0,24
44% Possession 56%
17 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaglebie 12. · Slask Wroclaw 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 14 10 1 3 +15 +7.7 31
2 Jagiellonia 14 10 1 3 +7 -1.0 31
3 Rakow 14 9 3 2 +13 +9.3 30
4 Cracovia 14 9 2 3 +10 +2.3 29
5 Legia 14 7 4 3 +12 +7.7 25
6 Pogon Szczecin 14 7 1 6 +2 +3.7 22
7 Piast Gliwice 14 5 5 4 +2 +0.3 20
8 Widzew Lodz 14 5 4 5 -1 -1.1 19
9 Gornik Zabrze 14 5 3 6 +1 +1.8 18
10 Motor Lublin 14 5 3 6 -6 -4.0 18
11 GKS Katowice 14 4 4 6 +1 +1.0 16
12 Zaglebie 13 4 3 6 -8 -3.4 15
13 Korona Kielce 14 4 3 7 -10 -4.5 15
14 Radomiak Radom 13 4 1 8 -3 +0.2 13
15 Stal Mielec 14 3 3 8 -7 +0.7 12
16 Puszcza 14 2 5 7 -10 -8.7 11
17 Lechia Gdansk 14 2 4 8 -11 -11.8 10
18 Slask Wroclaw 12 1 6 5 -7 -0.3 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaglebie Slask Wroclaw
1–0 M. Grzybek
1′
39′
🟨 Mateusz Żukowski
B. Kłudka 🔁
↦ M. Grzybek
40′
Bartłomiej Kłudka 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
M. Reguła 🔁
↦ A. Radwański
46′
Michał Nalepa 🟨
51′
2–0 M. Wdowiak
M. Reguła
55′
60′
🔁 Ł. Gerstenstein
↦ M. Żukowski
60′
🔁 J. Świerczok
↦ T. Băluță
78′
🟨 Sylvester Jasper
82′
🔁 A. Basse
↦ S. Musiolik
86′
🟨 Simeon Petrov
92′
🔁 M. Bartolewski
↦ T. Guercio
93′
🔁 B. Ince
↦ S. Jasper
3–0 M. Reguła
V. Sejk
96′
Damian Dąbrowski 🟨
101′
101′
🟨 Peter Pokorný
J. Jach 🔁
↦ M. Wdowiak
103′
A. Woźniak 🔁
↦ M. Mróz
108′
D. Mikołajewski 🔁
↦ V. Sejk
108′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Zaglebie

3-4-2-1
30 D. Hładun G
31 I. Orlikowski D
25 M. Nalepa D
5 A. Ławniczak D
13 M. Grzybek M
8 D. Dąbrowski M
6 T. Makowski M
17 M. Wdowiak M
18 A. Radwański F
7 M. Mróz F
9 V. Sejk F
Bench (9)
27 B. Kłudka
44 M. Reguła
11 A. Woźniak
80 D. Mikołajewski
33 J. Jach
1 J. Burić
23 P. Kusztal
21 T. Pieńko
15 H. Adamczyk

Coach: M. Włodarski

Slask Wroclaw

3-4-2-1
12 R. Leszczyński G
5 A. Petkov D
2 A. Paluszek D
87 S. Petrov D
22 M. Żukowski M
16 P. Pokorný M
21 T. Băluță M
78 T. Guercio M
23 S. Jasper F
17 P. Schwarz F
11 S. Musiolik F
Bench (9)
6 Ł. Gerstenstein
10 J. Świerczok
99 A. Basse
26 B. Ince
14 M. Bartolewski
33 Y. Matsenko
3 S. Szota
1 T. Loska
27 F. Rejczyk

Coach: J. Magiera

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Malec · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.