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Ligue 2

Referee: R Buquet

Ajaccio

S T U T T

0–1

Full-time

Metz

T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 10/11 matches

Win Ø 38%

30%

45%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

30%

45%

Both score Ø 52%

40%

64%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

64% Possession 36%

16 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 7

3 Offside 4

18 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajaccio 16. · Metz 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	12	8	2	2	+11	26
2	Lorient	12	7	2	3	+9	23
3	Annecy	12	6	4	2	+7	22
4	Dunkerque	12	7	1	4	+3	22
5	Guingamp	12	6	1	5	+4	19
6	Amiens	12	6	1	5	+2	19
7	Metz	11	5	3	3	+7	18
8	Grenoble	12	5	2	5	+3	17
9	Laval	12	4	3	5	+2	15
10	Bastia	11	3	6	2	+0	15
11	Clermont	12	4	3	5	-1	15
12	Pau FC	12	4	3	5	-4	15
13	Caen	12	4	2	6	-2	14
14	Red Star	12	4	2	6	-8	14
15	Rodez	12	3	3	6	-2	12
16	Ajaccio	10	3	2	5	-4	11
17	Troyes	12	3	2	7	-9	11
18	Martigues	12	2	2	8	-18	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dunkerque	7	6	0	1	+6	18
2	Amiens	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	Lorient	5	5	0	0	+10	15
4	Annecy	6	5	0	1	+7	15
5	Grenoble	6	4	2	0	+8	14
6	Guingamp	7	4	1	2	+8	13
7	Paris FC	6	4	1	1	+4	13
8	Metz	6	3	3	0	+8	12
9	Ajaccio	4	3	1	0	+4	10
10	Pau FC	5	3	1	1	+3	10
11	Bastia	6	2	4	0	+2	10
12	Caen	7	3	1	3	+0	10
13	Clermont	7	2	2	3	+1	8
14	Laval	5	2	1	2	+1	7
15	Troyes	6	2	1	3	-3	7
16	Red Star	5	2	1	2	-3	7
17	Rodez	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Martigues	7	0	1	6	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	6	4	1	1	+7	13
2	Rodez	7	2	2	3	+2	8
3	Laval	7	2	2	3	+1	8
4	Lorient	7	2	2	3	-1	8
5	Annecy	6	1	4	1	+0	7
6	Clermont	5	2	1	2	-2	7
7	Red Star	7	2	1	4	-5	7
8	Martigues	5	2	1	2	-6	7
9	Metz	5	2	0	3	-1	6
10	Guingamp	5	2	0	3	-4	6
11	Bastia	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Pau FC	7	1	2	4	-7	5
13	Caen	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Dunkerque	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Troyes	6	1	1	4	-6	4
16	Grenoble	6	1	0	5	-5	3
17	Amiens	6	1	0	5	-6	3
18	Ajaccio	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.