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Championship
Referee: O Langford
Rotherham
T T U T S
0–1
Full-time
Plymouth
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rotherham Plymouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,7
Scored
0,3
0,3
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,2
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 18%
10%
25%
Points per game
0,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
55%
60%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
58%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,36 xG 1,97
50% Possession 50%
11 Shots 21
2 Shots on target 11
3 Blocked shots 4
11 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 9
4 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rotherham 24. · Plymouth 21.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Ipswich 40 26 9 5 +33 +23.2 87
2 Leicester 39 27 4 8 +42 +32.0 85
3 Leeds 38 24 8 6 +42 +34.8 80
4 West Brom 38 19 11 8 +26 +5.9 68
5 Southampton 36 20 8 8 +22 +28.5 68
6 Norwich 38 19 7 12 +16 +0.3 64
7 Coventry 39 16 12 11 +17 +11.7 60
8 Preston 39 17 8 14 -3 -11.7 59
9 Middlesbrough 40 17 7 16 +3 +13.0 58
10 Hull 39 16 10 13 +3 +3.6 58
11 Cardiff 40 17 5 18 -9 -22.8 56
12 Bristol City 40 15 8 17 -1 -2.6 53
13 Sunderland 40 15 6 19 +1 +6.4 51
14 Watford 40 12 14 14 +2 +1.0 50
15 Swansea 40 12 11 17 -11 -9.0 47
16 QPR 40 12 10 18 -12 -6.1 46
17 Blackburn 40 12 9 19 -10 -4.9 45
18 Stoke 40 12 9 19 -16 -3.1 45
19 Millwall 40 11 11 18 -15 -11.1 44
20 Birmingham 40 11 9 20 -17 -8.2 42
21 Plymouth 40 10 11 19 -10 -18.8 41
22 Huddersfield 40 8 16 16 -21 -11.0 40
23 Sheffield Weds 40 11 6 23 -33 -10.6 39
24 Rotherham 40 4 11 25 -49 -40.3 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Dec -23 Plymouth – Rotherham 3–2

Match report

Rotherham Plymouth
32′
B. Mumba 0–1
M. Whittaker
Half-time 0–1
Cafú 🔁
↦ O. Rathbone
55′
J. Lindsay 🔁
↦ A. Rinomhota
56′
T. Eaves 🔁
↦ C. Wyke
56′
62′
🔁 A. Forshaw
↦ C. Wright
75′
🔁 B. Waine
↦ R. Hardie
S. Ferguson 🔁
↦ C. Bramall
78′
A. Appiah 🔁
↦ L. Peltier
83′
87′
🔁 B. Galloway
↦ B. Mumba
87′
🔁 M. Bundu
↦ M. Whittaker
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Rotherham

3-5-2
1 V. Johansson G
22 H. Odoffin D
24 C. Humphreys D
21 L. Peltier D
28 S. Revan M
18 O. Rathbone M
12 A. Rinomhota M
8 S. Clucas M
3 C. Bramall M
14 C. Wyke F
29 S. Nombe F
Bench (8)
7 Cafú
16 J. Lindsay
9 T. Eaves
17 S. Ferguson
30 A. Appiah
42 B. Hatton
38 F. Seriki
26 D. Phillips

Coach: L. Richardson

Plymouth

3-4-2-1
1 M. Cooper G
26 A. Phillips D
6 D. Scarr D
17 L. Gibson D
8 J. Edwards M
20 A. Randell M
4 J. Houghton M
2 B. Mumba M
10 M. Whittaker F
11 C. Wright F
9 R. Hardie F
Bench (9)
27 A. Forshaw
23 B. Waine
22 B. Galloway
15 M. Bundu
21 C. Hazard
3 L. Sousa
14 M. Miller
5 Julio Pleguezuelo
29 M. Sorinola

Coach: N. Dewsnip

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,07
U
3,59
B ✓
1,89
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

O Langford · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.