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Ekstraklasa
Referee: M Kochanek
Cracovia
U T U U T
2–2
Full-time
LKS Lodz
T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia LKS Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 17%
19%
15%
Points per game
1,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
35%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
46%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,4
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,83 xG 1,62
40% Possession 60%
20 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
9 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 10
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cracovia 13. · LKS Lodz 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Jagiellonia 26 15 6 5 +28 +13.4 51
2 Slask Wroclaw 26 13 8 5 +13 +4.8 47
3 Rakow 26 12 9 5 +20 +19.0 45
4 Lech Poznan 26 12 9 5 +8 -2.8 45
5 Pogon Szczecin 26 13 5 8 +18 +12.6 44
6 Legia 26 12 8 6 +10 +7.8 44
7 Gornik Zabrze 26 11 6 9 +3 -4.6 39
8 Stal Mielec 26 10 7 9 +0 -9.9 37
9 Widzew Lodz 26 10 5 11 -1 -3.9 35
10 Zaglebie 26 9 8 9 -8 +3.9 35
11 Radomiak Radom 26 8 8 10 -9 +0.7 32
12 Piast Gliwice 26 5 14 7 -5 +10.4 29
13 Cracovia 26 5 13 8 -3 -0.9 28
14 Warta Poznan 26 6 10 10 -7 -8.3 28
15 Puszcza 26 5 10 11 -13 -17.3 25
16 Korona Kielce 26 4 12 10 -8 -1.9 24
17 Ruch Chorzow 26 2 13 11 -13 -5.2 19
18 LKS Lodz 26 4 5 17 -33 -17.7 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cracovia LKS Lodz
8′
🟨 Engjell Hoti
1–0 B. Källman
19′
27′
🟨 Piotr Janczukowicz
Patryk Sokołowski 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–0
Andreas Skovgaard 🟨
46′
Michał Rakoczy 🟨
57′
Arttu Hoskonen 🟨
61′
M. Maigaard 🔁
↦ M. Rakoczy
62′
70′
ℹ️ Piotr Janczukowicz
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Lukáš Hroššo 🟨
72′
73′
Dani Ramírez 1–1
2–1 O. Kakabadze
77′
78′
🔁 S. Jurić
↦ E. Hoti
78′
🔁 A. Młynarczyk
↦ P. Janczukowicz
86′
S. Jurić 2–2
K. Tejan
87′
🔁 B. Szeliga
↦ H. Balić
T. Oshima 🔁
↦ K. Knap
89′
F. Rózga 🔁
↦ P. Makuch
89′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Cracovia

3-4-2-1
31 L. Hroššo G
22 A. Hoskonen D
33 E. Bitri D
3 A. Skovgaard D
25 O. Kakabadze M
88 P. Sokołowski M
20 K. Knap M
19 D. Ólafsson M
7 P. Makuch F
10 M. Rakoczy F
9 B. Källman F
Bench (9)
11 M. Maigaard
18 T. Oshima
63 F. Rózga
15 K. Glik
17 M. Bochnak
4 P. Jaroszyński
13 S. Madejski
2 C. Râpă
72 B. Kolec

Coach: J. Zieliński

LKS Lodz

4-1-4-1
99 D. Arndt G
8 K. Dankowski D
4 R. Məmmədov D
2 L. Gülen D
18 R. Durmisi D
14 M. Mokrzycki M
9 K. Tejan M
16 Dani Ramírez M
11 E. Hoti M
70 H. Balić M
20 P. Janczukowicz F
Bench (9)
21 S. Jurić
15 A. Młynarczyk
26 B. Szeliga
29 Y. Rostami
22 J. Łabędzki
30 O. Koprowski
25 M. Kołba
5 M. Flis
37 P. Głowacki

Coach: M. Matysiak

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Kochanek · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.