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Ekstraklasa

Referee: M Szczerbowicz

Arka Gdynia

S U T T U

0–0

Full-time

Gornik Zabrze

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arka Gdynia Gornik Zabrze

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

1,2

Conceded

2,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 37%

29%

45%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

61%

48%

Both score Ø 52%

52%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,30 xG 0,99

36% Possession 64%

11 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 9

0 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arka Gdynia 17. · Gornik Zabrze 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	32	15	11	6	+15	+27.8	56
2	Jagiellonia	31	13	10	8	+12	-3.8	49
3	Rakow	31	14	7	10	+8	+8.2	49
4	Gornik Zabrze	31	14	7	10	+7	-3.3	49
5	Zaglebie	32	13	9	10	+9	-7.3	48
6	GKS Katowice	32	14	6	12	+6	-5.4	48
7	Wisla Plock	32	12	9	11	-3	-2.2	45
8	Radomiak Radom	32	11	11	10	+5	-1.4	44
9	Legia	32	10	13	9	+0	+3.1	43
10	Lechia Gdansk	32	12	7	13	-1	+5.6	43
11	Motor Lublin	32	10	12	10	-3	-9.9	42
12	Piast Gliwice	32	11	8	13	-1	-0.8	41
13	Pogon Szczecin	32	12	5	15	-3	+4.2	41
14	Cracovia	32	9	13	10	-3	+2.5	40
15	Widzew Lodz	32	11	6	15	+0	+4.2	39
16	Korona Kielce	32	10	9	13	-1	-3.8	39
17	Arka Gdynia	31	9	8	14	-23	-8.6	35
18	Nieciecza	32	7	7	18	-24	-9.1	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	GKS Katowice	16	10	2	4	+11	-0.1	32
2	Radomiak Radom	16	9	4	3	+17	+8.9	31
3	Gornik Zabrze	16	10	1	5	+13	+3.9	31
4	Pogon Szczecin	16	9	2	5	+9	+7.3	29
5	Arka Gdynia	15	8	5	2	+4	-1.0	29
6	Lechia Gdansk	16	8	4	4	+12	+6.1	28
7	Widzew Lodz	16	8	4	4	+7	+5.7	28
8	Zaglebie	16	7	6	3	+12	+1.3	27
9	Lech Poznan	16	7	6	3	+10	+16.7	27
10	Jagiellonia	16	8	3	5	+9	+4.0	27
11	Legia	16	7	6	3	+7	+5.9	27
12	Wisla Plock	16	8	3	5	+1	+2.0	27
13	Rakow	15	7	4	4	+7	+4.3	25
14	Korona Kielce	16	6	5	5	+5	+3.4	23
15	Cracovia	16	5	8	3	+4	+7.3	23
16	Motor Lublin	16	5	8	3	+3	+0.0	23
17	Piast Gliwice	16	6	4	6	+2	+3.4	22
18	Nieciecza	16	3	4	9	-11	-3.3	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	16	8	5	3	+5	+11.1	29
2	Rakow	16	7	3	6	+1	+3.9	24
3	Jagiellonia	15	5	7	3	+3	-7.8	22
4	Zaglebie	16	6	3	7	-3	-8.6	21
5	Piast Gliwice	16	5	4	7	-3	-4.2	19
6	Motor Lublin	16	5	4	7	-6	-9.9	19
7	Wisla Plock	16	4	6	6	-4	-4.3	18
8	Gornik Zabrze	15	4	6	5	-6	-7.2	18
9	Cracovia	16	4	5	7	-7	-4.8	17
10	GKS Katowice	16	4	4	8	-5	-5.3	16
11	Korona Kielce	16	4	4	8	-6	-7.2	16
12	Legia	16	3	7	6	-7	-2.8	16
13	Lechia Gdansk	16	4	3	9	-13	-0.6	15
14	Nieciecza	16	4	3	9	-13	-5.8	15
15	Radomiak Radom	16	2	7	7	-12	-10.3	13
16	Pogon Szczecin	16	3	3	10	-12	-3.1	12
17	Widzew Lodz	16	3	2	11	-7	-1.5	11
18	Arka Gdynia	16	1	3	12	-27	-7.6	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.