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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Motherwell
T T S T U
2–3
Full-time
Celtic
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Motherwell Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 55%
42%
67%
Points per game
1,6
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
39%
67%
Both score Ø 52%
47%
56%
Average goals
2,5
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,9
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,21 xG 1,37
48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Motherwell 4. · Celtic 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 36 23 8 5 +32 +14.2 77
2 Celtic 36 24 4 8 +29 +24.0 76
3 Rangers 36 19 12 5 +31 +21.1 69
4 Motherwell 36 15 13 8 +23 +8.8 58
5 Hibernian 36 14 12 10 +14 +0.7 54
6 Falkirk 36 14 7 15 -6 +3.3 49
7 Dundee United 37 10 14 13 -11 -11.6 44
8 Aberdeen 37 11 7 19 -14 -14.6 40
9 Dundee 37 10 9 18 -20 -14.4 39
10 Kilmarnock 37 9 10 18 -21 -11.1 37
11 St Mirren 37 8 9 20 -25 -2.8 33
12 Livingston 37 2 15 20 -32 -17.6 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Motherwell Celtic
1–0 E. Watt
17′
41′
D. Maeda 1–1
Half-time 1–2
58′
B. Nygren 1–2
Yang Hyun-Jun
61′
🟨 Daizen Maeda
R. Charles-Cook 🔁
↦ C. Slattery
69′
70′
🔁 K. Iheanacho
↦ S. Tounekti
70′
🔁 A. Ralston
↦ A. Johnston
70′
🔁 R. Hatate
↦ B. Nygren
78′
🔁 J. Forrest
↦ Yang Hyun-Jun
78′
🔁 M. Saracchi
↦ K. Tierney
L. Gordon 🔁
↦ J. Koutroumbis
81′
S. Nicholson 🔁
↦ I. Said
81′
2–2 L. Gordon
85′
C. Hendry 🔁
↦ E. Just
88′
O. Priestman 🔁
↦ T. Maswanhise
88′
90′
K. Iheanacho 2–3
Sam Nicholson 🟨
91′
91′
🟨 Liam Scales
97′
ℹ️ Auston Trusty
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Emmanuel Longelo 🟨
98′
100′
🟨 Kelechi Iheanacho
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Motherwell

4-2-3-1
13 C. Ward G
7 T. Sparrow D
2 S. O'Donnell D
22 J. Koutroumbis D
45 E. Longelo D
12 L. Fadinger M
20 E. Watt M
90 I. Said M
8 C. Slattery M
21 E. Just M
18 T. Maswanhise F
Bench (9)
31 Matty Connelly
77 R. Charles-Cook
66 C. Hendry
25 O. Priestman
28 L. Ross
29 M. Booth
4 L. Gordon
19 S. Nicholson
48 A. Thomson

Coach: Jens Askou

Celtic

4-2-3-1
12 V. Sinisalo G
2 A. Johnston D
6 A. Trusty D
5 L. Scales D
63 K. Tierney D
42 C. McGregor M
27 A. Engels M
13 Yang Hyun-Jun M
8 B. Nygren M
23 S. Tounekti M
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (9)
31 R. Doohan
49 J. Forrest
17 K. Iheanacho
56 A. Ralston
21 A. Oxlade-Chamberlain
36 M. Saracchi
41 R. Hatate
14 L. McCowan
47 D. Murray

Coach: Martin O'Neill

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,25
U
4,03
B ✓
1,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,38
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.