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Ekstraklasa

Referee: W Myc

Wieczysta Krakow

T T U T

1–2

Full-time

Lech Poznan

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wieczysta Krakow Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 46%

25%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,3

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,8

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,0

0,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

2,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,99 xG 1,63

52% Possession 48%

12 Shots 21

2 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 7

3 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wieczysta Krakow 15. · Lech Poznan 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Jagiellonia	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.8	6
2	Wisla Plock	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.8	4
3	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
4	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
5	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
6	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.9	3
7	Wisla	2	1	0	1	+0	+3.1	3
8	Piast Gliwice	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
9	Widzew Lodz	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.4	2
10	Lech Poznan	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
11	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
12	Motor Lublin	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.0	1
13	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
14	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
15	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
16	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
17	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
18	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Zaglebie	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.4	3
2	Piast Gliwice	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.6	3
3	Wisla	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.6	3
4	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
5	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.9	3
6	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
7	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
8	Lech Poznan	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.1	1
9	Wisla Plock	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
10	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.6	0
11	Motor Lublin	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.2	0
12	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.6	3
2	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.2	3
3	Legia	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.9	3
4	Motor Lublin	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
5	Cracovia	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.1	1
6	Widzew Lodz	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
7	Wisla	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.6	0
8	GKS Katowice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.6	0
9	Wieczysta Krakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
10	Slask Wroclaw	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
11	Korona Kielce	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
12	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.