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Championship
Referee: T Kirk
Cardiff
T U T U U
1–0
Full-time
Hull
S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cardiff Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 23%
21%
24%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
42%
36%
Both score Ø 54%
55%
52%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,47 xG 0,22
33% Possession 67%
8 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cardiff 21. · Hull 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leeds 34 22 9 3 +50 +42.5 75
2 Burnley 34 18 14 2 +34 +9.8 68
3 Sheffield United 32 20 6 6 +20 +12.3 66
4 Sunderland 32 17 10 5 +20 +10.8 61
5 West Brom 34 12 15 7 +13 +8.9 51
6 Blackburn 34 15 6 13 +5 -0.7 51
7 Bristol City 33 12 13 8 +6 +5.4 49
8 Coventry 33 14 7 12 +4 +17.3 49
9 Watford 34 14 6 14 -3 -8.6 48
10 Norwich 34 12 11 11 +8 +9.4 47
11 Millwall 34 11 12 11 +0 +5.1 45
12 Sheffield Weds 34 12 9 13 -8 -2.8 45
13 Middlesbrough 33 12 8 13 +6 +11.7 44
14 QPR 34 11 11 12 -3 -5.8 44
15 Preston 34 9 15 10 -5 -1.0 42
16 Swansea 34 11 7 16 -9 -1.1 40
17 Portsmouth 34 10 9 15 -13 -10.4 39
18 Oxford 34 9 11 14 -15 -17.9 38
19 Stoke 33 8 11 14 -11 -18.2 35
20 Hull 33 8 9 16 -10 -6.3 33
21 Cardiff 33 7 12 14 -19 -13.9 33
22 Plymouth 34 6 12 16 -32 -31.0 30
23 Derby 34 7 8 19 -14 -8.0 29
24 Luton 34 7 7 20 -24 -7.5 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cardiff Hull
20′
🔁 G. Puerta
↦ E. Matazo
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Regan Slater
1–0 C. Robinson
52′
61′
🔁 S. Alzate
↦ R. Slater
61′
🔁 João Pedro
↦ K. Joseph
61′
🔁 A. Kamara
↦ Lincoln
A. Robertson 🔁
↦ C. Robinson
63′
I. Davies 🔁
↦ C. Willock
63′
73′
🔁 N. Amrabat
↦ S. McLoughlin
A. El Ghazi 🔁
↦ Y. Salech
78′
J. Bagan 🔁
↦ C. Chambers
78′
Sivert Mannsverk 🟨
81′
81′
🟨 Matt Crooks
R. Colwill 🔁
↦ C. Ashford
85′
Alex Robertson 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cardiff

4-2-3-1
1 E. Horvath G
35 A. Rinomhota D
2 W. Fish D
38 P. Ng D
11 C. O'Dowda D
15 S. Mannsverk M
12 C. Chambers M
16 C. Willock M
47 C. Robinson M
45 C. Ashford M
22 Y. Salech F
Bench (9)
18 A. Robertson
39 I. Davies
20 A. El Ghazi
23 J. Bagan
27 R. Colwill
19 Y. Meïté
48 D. Lawlor
49 L. Giles
41 M. Turner

Coach: O. Riza

Hull

4-2-2-2
1 I. Pandur G
2 L. Coyle D
5 A. Jones D
4 C. Hughes D
6 S. McLoughlin D
27 R. Slater M
36 E. Matazo M
16 Lincoln M
30 J. Gelhardt M
28 K. Joseph F
24 M. Crooks F
Bench (9)
20 G. Puerta
19 S. Alzate
12 João Pedro
44 A. Kamara
37 N. Amrabat
23 C. Drameh
15 J. Egan
32 T. Lo-Tutala
17 F. Burns

Coach: Rubén Sellés

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,68
U
3,25
B
2,69
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,11
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Kirk · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.