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Ekstraklasa
Referee: D Kos
Korona Kielce
U S S U S
0–2
Full-time
Gornik Zabrze
T T S S S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Korona Kielce Gornik Zabrze
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 65%
43%
86%
Points per game
1,7
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
29%
86%
Both score Ø 79%
71%
86%
Average goals
2,1
3,1
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,09 xG 1,77
64% Possession 36%
2 Shots 14
0 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Korona Kielce 8. · Gornik Zabrze 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Gornik Zabrze 7 6 0 1 +6 +0.6 18
2 Legia 8 4 4 0 +9 +4.6 16
3 Lech Poznan 7 5 1 1 +6 +6.4 16
4 Zaglebie 8 4 3 1 +3 -0.2 15
5 Wisla 8 4 2 2 +4 +4.5 14
6 Piast Gliwice 8 4 1 3 +2 -4.8 13
7 Pogon Szczecin 7 3 3 1 +5 -1.1 12
8 Korona Kielce 7 3 3 1 +3 -1.9 12
9 Jagiellonia 7 4 0 3 +1 +1.9 12
10 GKS Katowice 7 3 0 4 +2 -1.3 9
11 Widzew Lodz 8 1 5 2 +0 -0.2 8
12 Cracovia 8 2 2 4 -4 +3.2 8
13 Wisla Plock 7 2 2 3 -5 -0.9 8
14 Radomiak Radom 8 2 2 4 -9 -2.4 8
15 Slask Wroclaw 8 1 3 4 -3 -0.1 6
16 Motor Lublin 8 1 2 5 -6 -1.0 5
17 Wieczysta Krakow 7 1 1 5 -6 -0.9 4
18 Rakow 8 1 0 7 -8 -6.5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Korona Kielce Gornik Zabrze
41′
Peter Federico González Carmona 0–1
Jarosław Kubicki
Half-time 0–1
53′
🟨 Erik Prekop
Camilo Mena 🔁
↦ Martin Remacle
62′
64′
🔁 Ondrej Zmrzly
↦ Erik Janža
Morgan Faßbender 🔁
↦ Michael Ameyaw
70′
Simon Gustafsson 🔁
↦ Ondrej Lingr
70′
71′
🔁 Malthe Hojholt
↦ Paulo Bernardo
71′
🔁 Sondre Liseth
↦ Erik Prekop
84′
🔁 Lukáš Sadílek
↦ Jarosław Kubicki
84′
🔁 Janis Antiste
↦ Maksym Khlan
Ariel Mosor 🟨
88′
Daniel Bak 🔁
↦ Patrik Hellebrand
88′
kamil jakubczyk 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Korona Kielce

4-5-1
1 X. Dziekoński G
71 W. Długosz D
23 S. Rubežić D
2 A. Mosór D
6 M. Pięczek D
32 O. Lingr M
35 Kamil Jakubczyk M
8 M. Remacle M
18 P. Hellebrand M
19 M. Ameyaw M
14 M. Stępiński F
Bench (12)
67 N. Barczak
44 K. Sotiriou
24 B. Smolarczyk
10 Nono
30 C. Mena
11 K. Matuszewski
87 R. Mamla
99 Daniel Bak
21 K. Ciszek
9 S. Davidović
22 M. Faßbender
86 Simon Gustafson

Coach: J. Zielinski

Gornik Zabrze

4-3-3
1 P. Schulze G
61 M. Sáček D
26 R. Janicki D
20 Josema Sánchez D
64 E. Janža D
82 K. Urbański M
14 J. Kubicki M
8 Paulo Bernardo M
19 Peter F
11 E. Prekop F
33 M. Khlan F
Bench (12)
66 M. Dietz
28 B. Donio
6 M. Højholt
7 Y. Ikia Dimi
29 W. Kania
23 S. Liseth
99 T. Loska
18 L. Sadílek
24 K. Semik
4 P. Bochniewicz
9 J. Antiste
21 O. Zmrzlý

Coach: M. Gašparík

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,63
U
3,25
B ✓
2,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,28
U1,5
3,50
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,87
O3,5
3,25
U3,5 ✓
1,30
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,70
BLS nei ✓
2,04

Referee

D Kos · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.