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Puchar Polski
Widzew Lodz
U S T U T
0–1
Full-time
Korona Kielce
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Korona Kielce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Podhale Nowy Targ 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Olimpia Grudziądz 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 Śląsk Wrocław II 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Górnik Łęczna 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Sokół Kleczew 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Nieciecza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Arka Gdynia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Motor Lublin 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Stal Rzeszów 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Piast Gliwice 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 2 1 0 1 +2 3
13 Ruch Chorzow 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Polonia Środa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
16 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Pogoń Siedlce 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Wisla Plock 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Odra Opole 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Lechia Gdansk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Chrobry Głogów 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Polonia Warszawa 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Tychy 71 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Radomiak Radom 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 -1 3
26 Resovia Rzeszów 2 1 0 1 -3 3
27 Stal Mielec 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 Unia Skierniewice 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Cracovia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Górnik Zabrze II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Zaglebie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Kluczevia Stargard 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Luzino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
35 Sokół Ostróda 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Wisla 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Kluczbork 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Warta Poznan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Świt Skolwin 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Beskid 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Lechia Zielona Góra 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Chojniczanka Chojnice 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Wisła Płock II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Legia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
53 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -3 0
54 Chemik Bydgoszcz 1 0 0 1 -3 0
55 Wigry Suwałki 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Widzew Lodz Korona Kielce
Half-time 0–0
60′
🔁 O. Lingr
↦ M. Remacle
G. Papanikolaou 🔁
↦ L. Selahi
64′
K. Swiderski 🔁
↦ S. Biuk
64′
72′
🔁 K. Matuszewski
↦ M. Pieczek
72′
🔁 K. Ciszek
↦ S. Davidovic
72′
🔁 D. Bak
↦ M. Stepinski
73′
D. Bak 0–1
K. Ciszek
G. Papanikolaou 🟨
76′
D. Males 🔁
↦ E. Kornvig
80′
81′
🔁 K. Sotiriou
↦ M. Fassbender
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Widzew Lodz

30 V. Ilic
91 M. Krajewski
25 P. Wisniewski
3 S. Kapuadi
40 M. Garcia
18 L. Selahi
79 S. Biuk
10 F. Alvarez
8 E. Kornvig
7 M. Fornalczyk
99 S. Bergier
Bench (8)
1 B. Dragowski
4 M. Zyro
5 G. Papanikolaou
14 R. Visus
19 D. Males
20 A. Klukowski
28 K. Swiderski
46 K. Nawrocki

Coach: Aleksandar Vukovic

Korona Kielce

87 R. Mamla
67 N. Barczak
23 S. Rubezic
2 A. Mosor
6 M. Pieczek
35 K. Jakubczyk
8 M. Remacle
18 P. Hellebrand
9 S. Davidovic
14 M. Stepinski
22 M. Fassbender
Bench (9)
1 X. Dziekonski
10 Nono
11 K. Matuszewski
21 K. Ciszek
24 B. Smolarczyk
O. Lingr
44 K. Sotiriou
71 W. Dlugosz
99 D. Bak

Coach: Jacek Zielinski

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.